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Holly Springs, Georgia: Declining Violent Crime Amidst Rapid Population Growth
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Holly Springs, Georgia: A Decade of Population Growth and Declining Violent Crime Holly Springs, located in Georgia, has experienced significant population growth and evolving crime trends over the past decade. From 2010 to 2022, the city's population increased by 38.3%, growing from 26,145 to 36,156 residents. During this period, the total number of violent crimes fluctuated, with notable changes in specific crime categories.
Murder rates in the city have remained consistently low, with only one reported case in 2017. This translates to a murder rate of 0.032 per 1,000 people in that year. The percentage of state murders attributed to Holly Springs was 0.35% in 2017, which is the only year with a recorded murder. Given the city's growing population and the isolated nature of this incident, it suggests that murder is not a prevalent issue in the community.
Rape incidents have been infrequent, with reported cases in only a few years. In 2011, there were 2 reported rapes (0.075 per 1,000 people), representing 0.25% of the state's total. By 2022, there was 1 reported rape (0.028 per 1,000 people), accounting for 0.08% of the state's total. This indicates a decreasing trend in both the rate per capita and the city's contribution to state-wide rape statistics.
Robbery occurrences have been sporadic and low in number. The city reported 1 robbery each in 2012, 2014, 2015, 2016, and 2017. The robbery rate per 1,000 people peaked in 2012 at 0.037 and decreased to 0.032 by 2017, despite population growth. The city's contribution to state robbery statistics remained minimal, consistently at 0.02% when robberies occurred.
Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent violent crime in Holly Springs. The number of cases fluctuated over the years, with a high of 9 cases in 2017 (0.292 per 1,000 people) and a low of 2 cases in 2022 (0.055 per 1,000 people). The city's contribution to state aggravated assault statistics varied, peaking at 0.09% in 2017 and dropping to 0.02% in 2022. This suggests a significant improvement in recent years.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a weak inverse relationship between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density increased from 3,609 per square mile in 2010 to 4,991 in 2022, the overall violent crime rate showed a general downward trend, particularly in recent years.
Racial demographics show a slight correlation with crime trends. The percentage of white residents decreased from 85% in 2014 to 81% in 2022, while the percentage of Black residents increased from 2% to 5% over the same period. This demographic shift coincided with fluctuations in violent crime rates, but a direct causal relationship cannot be established without further analysis.
Applying predictive models based on recent trends, it is forecasted that violent crime rates in Holly Springs will continue to decrease over the next five years (up to 2029). The city's growing population and decreasing crime rates suggest an improving safety environment. However, this prediction assumes current trends will persist and does not account for potential unforeseen factors.
In summary, Holly Springs has demonstrated a generally positive trend in violent crime reduction despite significant population growth. The city has maintained low rates of serious violent crimes such as murder and rape, with aggravated assault showing the most notable improvement in recent years. These trends, coupled with the city's demographic changes and increasing population density, paint a picture of a growing community that has managed to enhance public safety over time.
