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Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Highwood, located in Illinois, presents an intriguing case study in violent crime trends. Over the period from 2010 to 2020, the city experienced fluctuations in its total violent crime incidents, ranging from a high of 10 in 2013 to a low of 2 in 2014. During this same timeframe, the population showed a slight overall decline, from 5,227 in 2010 to 5,312.5 in 2020, representing a 1.6% increase despite some fluctuations.
The murder rate in Highwood has been notably low, with only two incidents recorded over the entire period - one in 2010 and another in 2013. This translates to a rate of approximately 0.19 murders per 1,000 residents in those years, dropping to zero in all other years. The city's contribution to the state's murder statistics was minimal, accounting for 0.17% of Illinois' murders in both 2010 and 2013. This low and sporadic occurrence of murders suggests that homicide is not a persistent issue in the community.
Rape incidents in the city have been similarly infrequent. The data shows three reported cases in 2012, one in 2017, and one in 2018. The rate per 1,000 residents peaked at 0.57 in 2012, decreasing to 0.18 per 1,000 in 2017 and 2018. The city's contribution to state rape statistics ranged from 0.12% in 2010 to 0.02% in 2017 and 2018. The overall trend indicates a decrease in rape occurrences over time, with the city maintaining a very low percentage of the state's total.
Robbery trends in Highwood have remained consistently low. The data shows only four incidents over the entire period: one each in 2011, 2013, 2016, and 2017. The rate per 1,000 residents for these years was approximately 0.19, 0.18, 0.18, and 0.18 respectively. The city's contribution to state robbery statistics was minimal, never exceeding 0.01% of the state total. This suggests that robbery is not a significant concern in the community.
Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent form of violent crime in the city. The number of incidents fluctuated over the years, peaking at 6 in 2010 and 2013, and dropping to a low of 1 in 2017 and 2020. The rate per 1,000 residents ranged from a high of 1.15 in 2010 to a low of 0.18 in 2020. The city's contribution to state aggravated assault statistics varied, reaching a maximum of 0.06% in 2013 but generally remaining below 0.02%. The overall trend shows a decrease in aggravated assaults over time.
When examining correlations, there appears to be a moderate inverse relationship between violent crime rates and median rent. As median rent increased from $1,230 in 2013 to $1,431.5 in 2020, the number of violent crimes generally decreased. Additionally, there seems to be a weak correlation between the Hispanic population percentage and violent crime rates. As the Hispanic population decreased from 48% in 2016 to 41% in 2020, there was a slight decrease in violent crime incidents.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), we can expect the overall violent crime rate to continue its downward trend. Based on the historical data and current trends, it's projected that the city may experience an average of 2-3 violent crimes per year by 2029, with aggravated assault likely remaining the most common type of violent crime.
In summary, Highwood has demonstrated a generally positive trend in violent crime reduction over the past decade. The consistently low rates of murder and robbery, combined with decreasing trends in rape and aggravated assault, suggest that the city has maintained a relatively safe environment for its residents. The correlation between rising median rent and decreasing crime rates may indicate improving economic conditions or changes in community demographics. As Highwood moves forward, these trends point towards a continued enhancement of public safety, potentially contributing to an improved quality of life for its residents.