Loading Content...
Granite Shoals, Texas: Declining Violent Crime Trends Despite Population Growth
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Granite Shoals, a city in Texas, has witnessed significant changes in its violent crime rates and population dynamics over the past decade. From 2010 to 2019, the total number of violent crimes decreased by 63.2%, dropping from 19 to 7 incidents. During this same period, the city's population grew by 6.6%, increasing from 6,784 to 7,231 residents. This inverse relationship between population growth and crime reduction suggests an improvement in overall public safety.
The murder rate in Granite Shoals has remained consistently low, with only one reported case in 2013, accounting for 0.12% of the state's murders that year. The murder rate per 1,000 people was 0.14 in 2013 and dropped to zero in subsequent years. This stability in the murder rate, despite population growth, indicates effective law enforcement or positive community factors contributing to homicide prevention.
Rape incidents in the city have fluctuated over the years. There was 1 case reported in 2010 (0.02% of state cases), peaking at 6 cases in 2014 (0.07% of state cases), before decreasing to 1 case in 2019 (0.01% of state cases). The rape rate per 1,000 people reached its highest point at 0.82 in 2014 before declining to 0.14 in 2019. These variations suggest changing dynamics in sexual violence reporting or prevention efforts within the community.
Robbery trends in Granite Shoals show a decline over time. From 2 cases in 2010 (0.01% of state cases), robberies decreased to 1 case in 2019. The robbery rate per 1,000 people dropped from 0.29 in 2010 to 0.14 in 2019. This downward trend in robberies suggests improving economic conditions or enhanced security measures in the city.
Aggravated assault has shown the most significant fluctuations among violent crimes in Granite Shoals. Starting with 16 cases in 2010 (0.03% of state cases), it decreased to 5 cases in 2019 (0.01% of state cases). The rate per 1,000 people dropped from 2.36 in 2010 to 0.69 in 2019. Despite these fluctuations, the overall trend shows a decrease in aggravated assaults, potentially indicating improved conflict resolution within the community or effective law enforcement strategies.
A notable correlation exists between Granite Shoals' changing racial demographics and violent crime rates. As the Hispanic population increased from 29% in 2013 to 36% in 2019, there was a corresponding decrease in violent crimes from 7 to 7 incidents during the same period. Concurrently, the white population decreased from 69% to 64%. This demographic shift coincides with the overall reduction in violent crime, suggesting potential changes in community dynamics or socioeconomic factors influencing crime rates.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next seven years (up to 2029), we anticipate a continued gradual decrease in overall violent crime rates in Granite Shoals. Based on the historical data and current trends, we project that the total number of violent crimes could potentially drop to around 4-5 incidents per year by 2029, assuming consistent population growth and maintenance of current crime prevention strategies.
In summary, Granite Shoals has demonstrated a generally positive trend in reducing violent crime over the past decade, particularly in aggravated assaults and robberies. The changing demographic composition of the city appears to have a correlation with these crime trends. While individual categories like rape have shown some fluctuations, the overall direction points towards a safer community. These trends, if maintained, suggest a promising outlook for public safety in Granite Shoals over the coming years.
