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Gloversville's Violent Crime Trends: A Decade of Fluctuations in a Small New York City
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Gloversville, located in New York State, has experienced fluctuating violent crime rates alongside a declining population over the past decade. From 2010 to 2020, the total number of violent crimes decreased by 3.7%, from 82 to 79 incidents. During this same period, the population decreased by 3.5%, from 15,576 to 15,029 residents.
Murder rates in the city have remained relatively low, with most years reporting zero incidents. However, there were isolated cases in 2010 and 2016, each representing 0.14% and 0.19% of the state's total murders, respectively. In 2020, another murder was reported, again accounting for 0.14% of the state's total. Despite these occasional incidents, the murder rate per 1,000 people has remained below 0.07 throughout the period, indicating a generally safe environment in terms of homicides.
Rape cases have shown significant fluctuations over the years. In 2010, there were 6 reported rapes, which increased to a peak of 32 cases in 2016, representing a 433% increase. This spike accounted for 0.89% of the state's total rapes that year. By 2020, the number had decreased to 14 cases, still higher than the 2010 figure but showing a downward trend. The rape rate per 1,000 people rose from 0.39 in 2010 to a high of 2.12 in 2016, before declining to 0.93 in 2020. This volatility suggests a need for targeted interventions in sexual violence prevention.
Robbery incidents have shown a general decline over the decade. From 14 cases in 2010, the number dropped to 10 in 2020, a 28.6% decrease. The robbery rate per 1,000 people decreased from 0.90 in 2010 to 0.66 in 2020. The city's contribution to the state's total robberies remained relatively low, fluctuating between 0.01% and 0.06% over the period.
Aggravated assault cases have shown more variability. From 61 cases in 2010, the number dropped to a low of 18 in 2013 before rising again to 54 in 2020. This represents an 11.5% decrease over the decade. The rate per 1,000 people followed a similar pattern, starting at 3.92 in 2010, dropping to 1.16 in 2013, and rising to 3.59 in 2020. The city's contribution to the state's total aggravated assaults has fluctuated between 0.04% and 0.16% during this period.
There appears to be a correlation between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density decreased from 3,086 per square mile in 2010 to 2,978 in 2020, there was a corresponding overall decrease in violent crimes. Additionally, the racial composition of the city has shown slight changes, with the white population decreasing from 91% in 2013 to 88% in 2020, while the Hispanic population increased from 3% to 5% during the same period. This demographic shift coincides with some of the fluctuations in crime rates, particularly the increase in rapes and aggravated assaults in the mid-2010s.
Applying predictive models based on the available data, it's projected that by 2029, Gloversville may experience a slight increase in overall violent crimes. The model suggests that rape and aggravated assault cases may continue their upward trend, potentially reaching 18-20 and 58-60 cases per year, respectively. Robbery rates are expected to remain stable or decrease slightly, while murder rates are likely to remain low with occasional incidents.
In summary, Gloversville has shown complex crime trends over the past decade. While some violent crime categories have decreased, others have shown concerning increases. The city's changing demographics and decreasing population density appear to have some influence on these trends. Moving forward, focused efforts on preventing sexual violence and aggravated assaults, while maintaining the low rates of murders and robberies, will be crucial for improving public safety in Gloversville.
