The robbery trends in Gilbertown also show no reported cases for 2022. As with murder and rape, the robbery rate per 1,000 people and the percentage of state crime for robbery stand at 0%. This absence of robberies contributes to the overall low violent crime rate in the city.

Aggravated assault is the only violent crime category with a reported incident in 2022. With one case reported, the aggravated assault rate is approximately 0.64 per 1,000 people. This single case represents 0.01% of the state's total aggravated assaults. While any violent crime is concerning, a single incident in a year for a town of this size indicates a relatively low level of violent criminal activity.

When examining correlations between violent crime trends and other factors, we find a notable relationship with population density. The city's population density decreased from 197 people per square mile in 2013 to 147 in 2022, a 25.4% reduction. This decline in density coincides with the low violent crime rate observed in 2022, suggesting a possible correlation between lower population density and reduced violent crime.

Racial demographics show a shift towards a predominantly white population, increasing from 73% in 2013 to 89% in 2022. Concurrently, the black population decreased from 26% to 8% over the same period. This demographic shift coincides with the low violent crime rate, though causal relationships cannot be definitively established without further analysis.

Applying predictive models based on the limited violent crime data available, we can cautiously forecast that Gilbertown may continue to experience very low violent crime rates over the next five years (up to 2029). Assuming population trends and other factors remain relatively stable, the city might expect to see between 0-2 violent crimes annually, primarily in the form of aggravated assaults.

In summary, Gilbertown exhibits a remarkably low violent crime rate, with only one reported incident of aggravated assault in 2022. The absence of murders, rapes, and robberies, combined with the low rate of aggravated assault, paints a picture of a relatively safe community. These findings, set against the backdrop of declining population density and shifting racial demographics, suggest that Gilbertown has maintained a safe environment for its residents despite demographic changes. As the city moves forward, maintaining these low crime rates will likely be a priority for local law enforcement and community leaders.