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Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Pilot Grove, Missouri, is a small community that has experienced fluctuations in violent crime rates over the past decade. From 2010 to 2020, the total number of violent crimes in the city varied between 0 and 3 incidents per year, showing no consistent trend. During this same period, the population fluctuated, starting at 1,025 in 2010 and ending at 975 in 2022, representing a slight overall decrease of 4.9%.
The analysis of murder trends in the city reveals a consistently low rate. Throughout the entire period from 2010 to 2020, there were no reported murders in Pilot Grove. This translates to a murder rate of 0 per 1,000 people for each year, and a 0% contribution to the state's murder statistics. The absence of murders reflects positively on the city's safety record, especially considering the small population size where even a single incident would have a significant impact on crime rates.
Rape incidents in Pilot Grove also remained at zero throughout the recorded period from 2010 to 2020. This translates to a rape rate of 0 per 1,000 people and a 0% contribution to the state's rape statistics. The consistent absence of reported rapes suggests a relatively safe environment for residents in terms of this particular crime category.
Similarly, robbery incidents were non-existent in Pilot Grove from 2010 to 2020. The robbery rate remained at 0 per 1,000 people, with a 0% contribution to the state's robbery statistics. This absence of robberies may indicate effective local crime prevention or a strong sense of community that deters such criminal activities.
Aggravated assault was the only type of violent crime reported in Pilot Grove during the observed period. The number of aggravated assaults fluctuated between 0 and 3 incidents per year. In 2010, there were 3 aggravated assaults, representing 0.02% of the state's total. This decreased to 2 incidents in 2012 (0.01% of state total), followed by years with no reported assaults in 2014 and 2015. The rate increased again to 1 incident in 2016 (0.01% of state total), 2 in 2017 (0.01%), and 3 in both 2018 and 2019 (0.02% each year), before dropping to 0 in 2020. When considering the population, the aggravated assault rate ranged from 0 to 3.32 per 1,000 people, with the highest rate occurring in 2019 when the population was at its lowest point in the dataset (906 residents).
Examining correlations between violent crime trends and other factors, there appears to be a weak inverse relationship between population density and aggravated assault incidents. Years with lower population density tended to have slightly higher numbers of aggravated assaults, though this correlation is not strong enough to suggest causation. There were no discernible correlations between violent crime and median rent or race distribution, as the crime numbers were too low and inconsistent to establish meaningful patterns.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) is challenging due to the low and inconsistent nature of the crime data. However, based on the historical pattern, it's reasonable to expect that Pilot Grove will continue to experience between 0 and 3 aggravated assaults per year, with murder, rape, and robbery remaining at or near zero. The city's small size means that even minor fluctuations can appear as significant percentage changes, so maintaining vigilance in crime prevention will be crucial.
In summary, Pilot Grove has maintained a relatively low violent crime rate over the past decade, with aggravated assault being the primary concern. The absence of murders, rapes, and robberies, combined with the low overall crime numbers, suggests a generally safe community. However, the fluctuations in aggravated assaults indicate that ongoing efforts to address and prevent such incidents should remain a priority for local law enforcement and community leaders.