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Flowood's Property Crime Decline: A Decade of Improvement Amid Growth
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Flowood, Mississippi, has witnessed a remarkable transformation in its property crime landscape over the past decade, coupled with substantial population growth. From 2010 to 2022, the city experienced a dramatic 65.4% reduction in total property crimes, with incidents dropping from 480 to 166. During this same period, Flowood's population increased by 29.4%, growing from 14,798 to 19,147 residents.
Burglary rates in Flowood have shown a particularly impressive decline. In 2010, there were 87 reported burglaries, which plummeted to just 5 in 2022, marking a 94.3% reduction. When adjusted for population growth, the burglary rate per 1,000 residents fell from 5.88 in 2010 to a mere 0.26 in 2022. The city's share of state burglaries fluctuated over the years, peaking at 0.81% in 2013 before declining to 0.15% in 2022, suggesting enhanced security measures or effective law enforcement strategies.
Larceny-theft, the most prevalent property crime in Flowood, also experienced a significant decrease. The number of incidents fell from 382 in 2010 to 155 in 2022, representing a 59.4% reduction. Accounting for population growth, the rate per 1,000 residents decreased from 25.81 in 2010 to 8.09 in 2022. Despite this substantial decrease, Flowood's share of state larceny-theft incidents remained relatively stable, fluctuating between 0.98% and 1.44% over the years, indicating that the reduction was part of a broader statewide trend.
Motor vehicle theft in Flowood displayed a more nuanced pattern. The number of incidents decreased from 11 in 2010 to 6 in 2022, a 45.5% reduction. However, when adjusted for population growth, the rate per 1,000 residents only slightly decreased from 0.74 in 2010 to 0.31 in 2022. Notably, Flowood's share of state motor vehicle thefts increased marginally from 0.34% in 2010 to 0.35% in 2022, with a peak of 1.05% in 2020. This suggests that while the city improved in absolute numbers, it didn't outpace the state's overall reduction in motor vehicle thefts.
Arson incidents in Flowood were rare, with only one reported case in 2010 and another in 2019. The scarcity of data makes it challenging to draw meaningful conclusions about arson trends in the city.
An examination of correlations reveals a strong inverse relationship between property crime rates and median income in Flowood. As the median income increased from $76,765 in 2013 to $86,445 in 2022, property crimes per 1,000 residents decreased from 24.04 to 8.67. Additionally, there's a noticeable correlation between the decreasing property crime rates and the changing racial demographics. As the white population percentage decreased from 77% in 2013 to 70% in 2022, and the black population percentage increased from 14% to 21%, property crime rates continued to fall.
Applying predictive models based on the observed trends, it's projected that by 2029, property crime rates in Flowood could potentially decrease further to around 100-120 incidents per year, assuming current socioeconomic trends and law enforcement efforts continue.
In conclusion, Flowood has demonstrated a remarkable improvement in property crime rates across all categories over the past decade, outpacing its population growth. The most significant reductions were seen in burglary and larceny-theft, while motor vehicle theft showed a more modest improvement. These trends, coupled with rising median incomes and changing demographics, paint a picture of a city that has made substantial progress in enhancing public safety and quality of life for its residents.
