Robbery trends show a general decline over the period. In 2010, there were 3 robberies (0.20 per 1,000 people), peaking at 5 in 2016 (0.28 per 1,000 people), before decreasing to 1 in 2022 (0.05 per 1,000 people). This represents a significant 66.67% decrease in robbery incidents from 2010 to 2022. The city's contribution to state robbery totals has fluctuated, from 0.14% in 2010 to 0.37% in 2022, indicating a relatively stable share of state robberies despite local decreases.

Aggravated assault cases have shown the most significant decline among violent crimes. In 2010, there were 31 cases (2.09 per 1,000 people), which decreased to 15 cases in 2022 (0.78 per 1,000 people), representing a 51.61% reduction. The city's contribution to state aggravated assault totals has also decreased from 1.52% in 2010 to 0.92% in 2022, indicating a substantial improvement in this category relative to state trends.

Examining correlations, there appears to be a strong inverse relationship between population density and violent crime rates. As population density increased from 513 per square mile in 2010 to 664 in 2022, violent crime rates per capita decreased. Additionally, there is a notable correlation between changes in racial demographics and crime rates. As the white population percentage decreased from 77% in 2013 to 70% in 2022, and the black population increased from 14% to 21% over the same period, violent crime rates generally declined, suggesting that demographic shifts have not negatively impacted public safety.

Applying predictive models based on these trends, it's forecasted that by 2029 (five years from now), Flowood may see a further reduction in violent crimes. The total number of violent incidents could potentially decrease to around 15-18 per year, with robberies potentially reaching near-zero levels. Rape and aggravated assault cases are likely to continue their downward trend, possibly reaching 4-5 and 10-12 incidents per year, respectively. The murder rate is expected to remain at zero, maintaining the city's exemplary record in this category.

In summary, Flowood has demonstrated a remarkable improvement in public safety over the past decade. The significant decrease in violent crimes, particularly in aggravated assaults and robberies, coupled with a consistently zero murder rate, paints a picture of a city that has effectively managed its growth while enhancing security for its residents. These positive trends, if continued, position Flowood as an increasingly safe urban environment within Mississippi.