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Everton, Missouri: Property Crime Decline Amid Population Decrease
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Everton, located in Missouri, presents an interesting case study in property crime trends. Over the period from 2010 to 2017, the city experienced fluctuations in both its property crime rates and population. The total number of property crimes peaked at 7 in 2011, dropping to zero from 2015 to 2017. During this same period, the population decreased from 1,083 in 2010 to 970 in 2017, representing a 10.4% decline.
Examining burglary trends, we see a spike in 2011 with 4 incidents, constituting 0.01% of the state's burglaries that year. This translates to a rate of 3.12 burglaries per 1,000 residents. However, burglaries dropped to zero from 2015 onwards, indicating a significant improvement in this area. The initial surge and subsequent decline in burglaries suggest a temporary issue that was effectively addressed, possibly through increased law enforcement efforts or community initiatives.
Larceny-theft followed a similar pattern, with 3 incidents reported in 2011 and none in other years. This brief spike represented a rate of 2.34 thefts per 1,000 residents in 2011. The absence of larceny-theft incidents in subsequent years points to a positive trend in property security within the city.
Motor vehicle theft and arson showed no reported incidents throughout the entire period from 2010 to 2017. This consistent absence of these crimes suggests that the city has maintained effective preventive measures against more serious property crimes.
When examining correlations between property crime trends and other socio-economic factors, we find a notable relationship with population density. The peak in property crimes in 2011 coincided with the highest population density of 3,718 people per square mile. As the population density decreased to 2,811 people per square mile by 2017, property crimes dropped to zero. This suggests that lower population density may contribute to reduced property crime rates in the city.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), we anticipate that the city will likely maintain its low property crime rates. Given the consistent zero-crime reports from 2015 to 2017, and assuming no significant changes in local policies or socio-economic conditions, we predict that Everton will continue to experience very low to zero property crime incidents through 2029.
In summary, Everton has demonstrated a remarkable improvement in its property crime situation. The brief spike in burglaries and larceny-theft in 2011 was followed by a complete absence of reported property crimes from 2015 onwards. This positive trend, coupled with the correlation between decreasing population density and reduced crime rates, suggests that the city has successfully implemented effective crime prevention strategies. As we look towards 2029, Everton appears poised to maintain its status as a community with exceptionally low property crime rates, providing a safe environment for its residents.
