Robbery in Eminence has been rare, with only three reported incidents over the 13-year period. Two robberies occurred in 2011 (0.06% of state total) and one in 2015 (0.03% of state total). The robbery rate per 1,000 people was 0.68 in 2011 and 0.34 in 2015. The infrequency of robberies indicates that it is not a significant concern for the city.

Aggravated assault trends show fluctuations over the years. The highest number of cases was 7 in 2011, representing 0.17% of the state's total. The rate per 1,000 people that year was 2.39. In recent years, there's been an uptick, with 3 cases reported in both 2020 and 2022, each representing 0.17% and 0.18% of the state's total respectively. The rate per 1,000 people for these years was 1.00 in 2020 and 1.00 in 2022. This recent increase suggests that aggravated assault may be becoming a more pressing issue for the city.

Examining correlations, there appears to be a moderate relationship between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density increased from 922 per square mile in 2010 to 1,051 in 2022, there was a general upward trend in violent crimes, particularly noticeable in the spike of cases in 2020. Additionally, the racial distribution shows a slight correlation with crime trends. As the white population percentage decreased from 79% in 2013 to 72% in 2019, there was a subtle increase in overall violent crime rates.

Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), we can anticipate a potential continuation of the recent uptick in aggravated assaults. If the current trend persists, the city might see an average of 3-4 aggravated assault cases per year. Rape cases are likely to remain sporadic, potentially averaging 1-2 cases annually. Robberies are expected to remain rare, possibly occurring once every 3-4 years. Murder rates are projected to stay extremely low, with the possibility of 0-1 cases in the five-year period.

In summary, Eminence has maintained relatively low violent crime rates over the past decade, with occasional spikes in specific categories. The most notable trend is the recent increase in aggravated assaults, which warrants attention from local law enforcement. While the overall violent crime rate remains low for a city of its size, the fluctuations in rape cases and the persistent, albeit low, level of aggravated assaults suggest areas for focused crime prevention efforts. The city's changing demographics and increasing population density may play a role in these trends, highlighting the need for community-oriented policing strategies that adapt to the evolving social landscape of Eminence.