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East Brewton's Property Crime Decline: A Decade of Improvement
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
East Brewton, Alabama, a small city with a population of 4,150 in 2022, has experienced notable fluctuations in property crime rates over the past decade. From 2011 to 2022, the total number of property crimes decreased significantly from 95 to 32, representing a 66.3% reduction. During this same period, the city's population grew by 11.7%, from 3,822 to 4,150 residents.
Burglary rates in the city have shown a dramatic decline over time. In 2011, there were 21 burglaries reported, which decreased to just 3 in 2022, marking an 85.7% reduction. When adjusted for population, the burglary rate fell from 5.5 per 1,000 residents in 2011 to 0.7 per 1,000 in 2022. The city's share of state burglaries also decreased from 0.06% in 2011 to 0.03% in 2022, indicating that burglary rates improved more rapidly in East Brewton than in the state overall. This substantial decrease suggests improved security measures or community policing efforts may have been effective in deterring burglaries.
Larceny-theft incidents also saw a significant reduction, dropping from 67 cases in 2011 to 25 in 2022, a 62.7% decrease. The rate per 1,000 residents fell from 17.5 in 2011 to 6.0 in 2022. Despite this decrease, the city's share of state larceny-theft incidents decreased only slightly from 0.07% to 0.05%, suggesting that while improvements were made locally, they were somewhat in line with statewide trends. This reduction in larceny-theft could be attributed to improved community awareness or enhanced retail security measures.
Motor vehicle theft trends in the city have been more volatile. There were 7 reported cases in 2011, which decreased to 4 in 2022, a 42.9% reduction. The rate per 1,000 residents fell from 1.8 in 2011 to 1.0 in 2022. Interestingly, despite this decrease, the city's share of state motor vehicle thefts actually decreased from 0.08% to 0.06%, suggesting that motor vehicle theft reductions in East Brewton were not as significant as those seen statewide. This could indicate a need for targeted efforts to address this specific type of crime.
Arson data for East Brewton is limited, with only two years reporting: 2011 and 2022, both showing zero incidents. This consistent lack of arson cases suggests it is not a significant concern for the city.
Examining correlations between crime trends and socioeconomic factors reveals some interesting patterns. As the median income increased from $30,689 in 2013 to $43,579 in 2022, property crime rates generally decreased. This suggests a potential inverse relationship between economic prosperity and property crime rates. Additionally, the percentage of owner-occupied housing decreased from 64% in 2013 to 61% in 2022, which doesn't seem to have a strong correlation with property crime trends in this case.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), we can anticipate a continued gradual decrease in overall property crime rates. Burglary rates are expected to stabilize at very low levels, potentially reaching near-zero incidents. Larceny-theft is projected to continue its downward trend but at a slower rate, potentially reaching around 20 incidents per year. Motor vehicle theft rates may fluctuate but are likely to remain low, possibly averaging 3-4 incidents annually.
In summary, East Brewton has made significant strides in reducing property crime rates over the past decade, particularly in burglary and larceny-theft. The city's improvements in economic indicators, coupled with potentially enhanced law enforcement strategies, have contributed to a safer community. While motor vehicle theft remains an area for continued focus, the overall trend suggests a positive outlook for public safety in East Brewton.
