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Demographic Transition in Zip Code 86321: From White Majority to Hispanic-White Parity
CATEGORY
Demographics
DATA
Population
Median Income
Racial Distributions
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Demographics
Population
Median Income
Racial Distributions
The zip code 86321 in Bagdad, Arizona, has undergone significant demographic changes from 2013 to 2022. This area has transitioned from a White Majority community to one with near-equal White and Hispanic populations. As of 2022, the population was 1,001 with a median income of $67,651.
From 2013 to 2017, Bagdad maintained its White Majority status, though the White population decreased from 80% to 73%. Between 2018 and 2020, the community shifted to a Moderate Diversity classification, with the White population falling below 70% and the Hispanic population rising above 30%. By 2021-2022, the community reached High Diversity status, with White and Hispanic populations each comprising approximately 50% of the total.
The Hispanic population share in Bagdad nearly tripled over the decade, increasing from 17% to 51%. This demographic shift occurred alongside population growth, with the total number of residents increasing from 703 in 2013 to 1,001 in 2022, representing a 42% increase.
Economic trends in Bagdad showed no clear correlation with the demographic changes. The median income fluctuated over the years, generally increasing from $65,828 in 2013 to $85,913 in 2018, then becoming more volatile. By 2022, the median income stabilized around $67,000-$77,000.
The demographic shift in Bagdad aligns with broader trends in Arizona and the Southwest, where Hispanic populations have been growing. The rapidity and extent of the change in this small community are notable. The relatively stable and above-average median income suggests that this demographic shift is not driven by economic decline, but possibly by changes in local industries or regional migration patterns.
Bagdad presents a case of a small, relatively affluent community undergoing rapid demographic transformation. The transition from a White Majority to a highly diverse, evenly split community over a decade illustrates the dynamic nature of demographic change in small American towns. The economic stability amid this shift suggests a potentially positive integration process.
