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Demographic Transition in Zip Code 10588: From Low Diversity to White Majority with Moderate Diversity
CATEGORY
Demographics
DATA
Population
Median Income
Racial Distributions
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Demographics
Population
Median Income
Racial Distributions
As of 2022, zip code 10588 (Shrub Oak, New York) is categorized as a White Majority community with Moderate Diversity. The area has a population of 2,680 and a median income of $129,887, indicating an affluent suburban setting. The community has undergone demographic changes over the past decade, transitioning from low diversity to its current moderately diverse state.
From 2013 to 2016, the area was characterized by Low Diversity, with the white population consistently above 70%. Between 2017 and 2019, the community transitioned to a Transitional Community status. The white population decreased from 77% in 2016 to 59% in 2019, while Hispanic and Asian populations grew significantly. By 2022, the area had evolved into a White Majority with Moderate Diversity. The white population stabilized at 60%, with notable increases in Asian (17%) and Hispanic (21%) populations.
The demographic changes correlate with economic growth. Median income rose from $96,057 in 2013 to $129,887 in 2022, a 35% increase. The most significant income jump occurred between 2017 ($102,257) and 2018 ($125,972), coinciding with the period of rapid diversification. Population grew from 1,951 in 2013 to 2,680 in 2022, a 37% increase.
This parallel growth in diversity, income, and population suggests that the area has become increasingly attractive to affluent, diverse professionals, possibly due to its proximity to New York City and quality of life factors.
These trends align with broader patterns seen in many suburban areas near major cities: increasing diversity in traditionally homogeneous suburbs, rising incomes and property values in desirable commuter areas, and growth in Asian and Hispanic populations in Northeast suburban communities. The significant income increase (35% over a decade) outpaces national averages, indicating that Shrub Oak is becoming an increasingly affluent enclave within the New York metropolitan housing market.
Shrub Oak (10588) has transformed from a low-diversity, predominantly white community to a moderately diverse, affluent suburb over the past decade. This evolution reflects broader trends of suburban diversification and economic growth in desirable commuter areas near major urban centers. The correlation between increasing diversity and rising incomes suggests that this demographic shift is associated with positive economic outcomes for the community.
