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Demographic Transition in Tucson's 85712 Zip Code: From White Majority to Diverse Community
CATEGORY
Demographics
DATA
Population
Median Income
Racial Distributions
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Demographics
Population
Median Income
Racial Distributions
Zip code 85712 in Tucson, Arizona, has experienced significant demographic changes from 2013 to 2022. The area transitioned from a White Majority to a Moderate Diversity classification with a White Plurality. As of 2022, the white population comprises 56% of the total, while the Hispanic population represents 30%. This shift reflects a decrease in the white population from 64% in 2013 and an increase in the Hispanic population from 23% in the same year.
The community has also seen an increase in individuals identifying as two or more races, rising from 2% in 2013 to 5% in 2022. Other racial groups, including Black, Asian, and Native American populations, maintained relatively stable percentages throughout the decade. These changes contribute to the area's increasing diversity.
Economically, the zip code has experienced moderate growth. The median income increased from $35,246 in 2013 to $42,990 in 2022, representing a 22% growth over the decade. This growth outpaced inflation, indicating a real increase in economic well-being for residents. However, income variability was observed, with a peak of $47,575 in 2021 followed by a decrease in 2022.
The population in zip code 85712 remained relatively stable over the decade, fluctuating between approximately 28,000 to 31,000 residents. This stability suggests that demographic changes were more likely due to shifts within the existing population rather than significant in-migration or out-migration.
The demographic shifts observed in this Tucson zip code align with broader national trends of increasing diversity in urban areas. The growth in the Hispanic population and the increase in multiracial identification mirror patterns seen across many U.S. cities, particularly in the Southwest. The moderate income growth in this area is generally in line with national trends, although the specific figures suggest that this zip code may be slightly below the national median income.
The stability in population, combined with increasing diversity and moderate income growth, suggests that this zip code is experiencing a gradual transition towards a more multicultural community without dramatic demographic upheavals. This pattern of change could be indicative of a community that is evolving organically, potentially driven by factors such as changing birth rates among different ethnic groups, intermarriage, and gradual shifts in local economic opportunities.
Zip code 85712 in Tucson exemplifies a Transitional Community, moving from a predominantly white area to one of moderate diversity with a growing Hispanic presence. This transition, coupled with steady economic growth, paints a picture of a community in flux, adapting to broader demographic trends while maintaining a degree of economic stability.
