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Demographic Transition in Estate Groves and Valencia Estates: From Low to Increasing Racial Diversity
CATEGORY
Demographics
DATA
Population
Median Income
Racial Distributions
Loading Content...
Demographics
Population
Median Income
Racial Distributions
Estate Groves and Valencia Estates, a neighborhood in Mesa, Arizona, exhibits a racial composition categorized as "Low Diversity" based on established terms. As of 2022, the white population constitutes 73% of the neighborhood, which is just below the 75% threshold for low diversity. The area is characterized by a high median income of $130,119. The neighborhood has experienced population decline over the past decade, dropping from 1,583 residents in 2010 to 906 in 2022.
From 2013 to 2017, the neighborhood maintained a white population percentage between 88-96%, placing it in the "Low Diversity" category. However, there has been a gradual shift towards increased diversity over the past five years. The percentage of white residents decreased from 96% in 2017 to 73% in 2022, while the Hispanic population grew from 1% to 19% during the same period. This change suggests a transition towards "Moderate Diversity," though it has not yet reached that threshold.
The neighborhood could be classified as a "Transitional Community" due to the consistent increase in Hispanic representation and the gradual decrease in the white population percentage. This transition is notable given the historically low diversity of the area.
The median income in the neighborhood has fluctuated over the years but has generally remained high. It peaked at $171,630 in 2015 and has since stabilized around $130,000-$170,000. The increase in diversity coincides with a period of relative income stability, suggesting that the demographic changes have not significantly impacted the overall economic status of the neighborhood.
The declining population, from 1,801 in 2013 to 906 in 2022, coupled with consistently high median incomes, might indicate a trend towards larger, more expensive properties or a shift in housing preferences. This could be attracting a more diverse, but still affluent, population to the area.
The demographic shifts observed in Estate Groves and Valencia Estates align with broader national trends of increasing diversity in suburban areas. The rapid increase in Hispanic representation from 1% to 19% in five years is particularly notable. The neighborhood's high median income ($130,119 in 2022) significantly exceeds the national median household income (approximately $70,784 in 2021), indicating that despite increasing diversity, the area remains economically exclusive.
The population decline in this neighborhood contrasts with the general trend of population growth in many suburban areas across the United States. This characteristic might be tied to local factors such as zoning changes, property development patterns, or shifts in the local economy of Mesa.
Estate Groves and Valencia Estates is undergoing a demographic transition while maintaining its economic status. This evolution from a predominantly white, low-diversity area to one with increasing Hispanic representation, while retaining high median incomes, presents a case study in suburban demographic change and its intersection with economic factors.
