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Demographic Shifts in Sierra Ranch: From White Majority to Increasing Diversity
CATEGORY
Demographics
DATA
Population
Median Income
Racial Distributions
Loading Content...
Demographics
Population
Median Income
Racial Distributions
Sierra Ranch, a neighborhood in Mesa, Arizona, currently presents a demographic profile categorized as a "White Majority" community, with 67% of the population identifying as white in 2022. The area has experienced shifts in its racial composition over the past decade, alongside fluctuations in median income. Sierra Ranch has a relatively high median income compared to many other neighborhoods in Mesa.
Over the past decade, Sierra Ranch has transitioned from a community with "Low Diversity" to one that now borders on "Moderate Diversity." In 2013, the neighborhood was in the "White Majority" category with 61% white population. By 2018, it had shifted towards "Low Diversity" with 85% white population. Recent years have seen an increase in diversity. The Hispanic population has remained relatively stable, fluctuating between 14-21% over the decade. The Black population has increased from 1-2% in 2016-2021 to 13% in 2022. The Asian population has decreased from 6% in 2013 to 2% in 2022.
The median income in Sierra Ranch has shown overall growth, with some fluctuations. From $85,746 in 2013 to $93,845 in 2021, there was a 9.4% increase. A peak of $89,152 occurred in 2014, followed by a dip to $82,904 in 2019. A recovery to $93,845 was seen in 2021, the highest in the recorded period. These economic trends correlate with the demographic shifts. The period of lowest diversity (2018) coincided with a dip in median income, while the recent increase in diversity has been accompanied by a rise in median income.
The median income in Sierra Ranch ($93,845 in 2021) is likely higher than the national median, which was around $67,000 in 2020. The rapid increase in the Black population from 2021 to 2022 (2% to 13%) is unusually sharp and may reflect broader demographic shifts in the Mesa area or specific local developments. The overall trend towards increased diversity in Sierra Ranch aligns with national trends of growing diversity in suburban areas, particularly in the Southwest. The stable Hispanic population (around 14-20%) is lower than what might be expected for an Arizona community, suggesting Sierra Ranch may have a unique demographic composition compared to surrounding areas.
Sierra Ranch appears to be undergoing a significant demographic transition, moving from a predominantly white, low-diversity area to a more diverse community. This shift, coupled with rising median incomes, suggests a dynamic period of change that may be reshaping the social and economic fabric of the neighborhood. The coming years will be crucial in determining whether Sierra Ranch continues on this path towards greater diversity or stabilizes into its new demographic profile.
