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Demographics
Population
Median Income
Racial Distributions
Shaheen Estates, a neighborhood in Tucson, Arizona, exhibits a demographic profile characterized by moderate diversity as of 2022. The community comprises a White majority of 51% and a Hispanic population of 38%. The median income in 2022 was $41,363, indicating a middle-class area. This figure represents a decrease from previous years. The neighborhood has experienced notable population fluctuations over the past decade.
Significant demographic changes have occurred in Shaheen Estates over the last decade. In 2013, the neighborhood was categorized as a "Majority-Minority" community, with Hispanic residents comprising 46% of the population and White residents at 36%. By 2017, it had transitioned to a "White Majority" status with 70% White residents, indicating a rapid shift in racial composition. This trend has moderated, returning to a more diverse mix by 2022.
The Hispanic population has experienced notable fluctuations. After declining to 10% in 2017-2018, it rebounded to 38% by 2022, suggesting a "Transitional Community" status. The Black population increased from 0% in 2013 to a peak of 15% in 2019, before declining to 3% in 2022. These shifts may be attributed to factors such as changing housing policies, economic opportunities, or broader demographic trends in the Tucson area.
The median income in Shaheen Estates has shown considerable volatility, correlating with demographic shifts. The peak median income of $64,121 in 2016 coincided with the period when the White population was increasing towards its peak. As the community has become more diverse in recent years, the median income has fluctuated, dropping to $36,856 in 2019 before rebounding to $54,285 in 2021 and settling at $41,363 in 2022. This economic volatility might be linked to changes in the local job market, shifts in the types of residents moving in or out of the area, or broader economic trends affecting Tucson or Arizona.
The demographic evolution of Shaheen Estates reflects broader trends seen in many urban areas across the United States, where neighborhoods are becoming increasingly diverse. The fluctuation between majority-minority status and white majority status over a relatively short period is noteworthy and may indicate rapid gentrification followed by a period of rebalancing. The economic volatility experienced by Shaheen Estates, with significant swings in median income, is more pronounced than typical national trends. This could suggest that the neighborhood is particularly sensitive to local economic factors or that it is undergoing a period of significant transition in its resident base.
Shaheen Estates presents a case study of a neighborhood in flux, both demographically and economically. Its transition from a majority-minority community to a white majority and back to a moderately diverse area within a decade highlights the dynamic nature of urban demographics in the 21st century. The corresponding economic fluctuations underscore the complex relationship between racial composition and economic prosperity in American neighborhoods.