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Demographics
Population
Median Income
Racial Distributions
Harrisonburg, Virginia, as of 2022, is classified as a "White Majority" community with a significant Hispanic population. The city's demographic composition shows a white population of 64%, which constitutes a majority. The median income in 2022 was $56,696, and the population was 51,784, characterizing Harrisonburg as a mid-sized city experiencing gradual demographic shifts and economic changes.
Over the past decade, Harrisonburg has been transitioning from a "Low Diversity" community towards a more diverse demographic composition. In 2013, the white population constituted 71% of the total, clearly fitting the "White Majority" category. By 2022, this percentage had decreased to 64%, while still maintaining majority status. The Hispanic population has shown a steady increase, rising from 17% in 2013 to 21% in 2022. This trend, along with increases in other minority groups, suggests that Harrisonburg is evolving into a "Transitional Community." The growth in the two or more races category from 2% to 5% further supports this classification.
The demographic shifts in Harrisonburg correlate with notable changes in median income. From 2013 to 2022, the median income increased from $43,632 to $56,696, representing a 30% growth. This economic improvement coincides with the increasing diversity of the population. The population growth has slowed and slightly reversed in recent years, peaking at 53,373 in 2018 and declining to 51,784 by 2022. This trend might indicate changing migration patterns or economic factors influencing population dynamics.
The trends observed in Harrisonburg align with broader national patterns of increasing diversity in mid-sized cities and the growth of Hispanic populations across the United States. The economic growth experienced by the city is also consistent with national trends of recovery and growth following the 2008 recession.
Based on the observed trends, it is likely that Harrisonburg will continue its trajectory towards greater diversity. If current patterns persist, within the next decade, the city might transition from a "White Majority" to a "Moderate Diversity" category. The Hispanic population may continue to grow, potentially reaching 25% or more of the total population. Economically, if the correlation between increasing diversity and rising median income continues, further economic growth might be expected. However, the recent population decline warrants attention, as it could impact future economic prospects if it persists.
Harrisonburg appears to be in a state of demographic and economic transition, moving towards greater diversity and potentially stronger economic indicators. This evolution may bring both opportunities and challenges as the community adapts to its changing composition.