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Demographics
Population
Median Income
Racial Distributions
Seguin, Texas, has transitioned from a Moderate Diversity community to a Majority-Minority city with a Hispanic plurality. As of 2022, the city's population is 40,477, with a median income of $57,426. The racial composition shows a Hispanic population of 52%, White 39%, Black 6%, and small percentages of Asian and multiracial residents.
Over the past decade, Seguin has experienced significant demographic shifts. In 2013, the city had a nearly even split between Hispanic (46%) and White (45%) populations. By 2022, the Hispanic population grew to 52%, while the White population decreased to 39%. This shift indicates a Transitional Community, with consistent growth in the Hispanic population and decline in the White population.
The Black population has remained relatively stable at around 5-6% throughout the period. There has been a slight increase in Asian and multiracial populations, though they remain small percentages of the overall demographic.
The median income in Seguin has shown overall growth, rising from $48,447 in 2013 to $57,426 in 2022, an increase of about 18.5%. This growth has not been steady, with fluctuations including a notable increase to $62,157 in 2021 before dropping in 2022.
The population has grown steadily from 36,374 in 2013 to 40,477 in 2022, an increase of about 11.3%. This population growth correlates with the increasing Hispanic population, suggesting that much of the city's growth may be attributed to Hispanic immigration or higher birth rates within the Hispanic community.
The demographic shift in Seguin mirrors broader trends seen across Texas and the United States, where Hispanic populations are growing rapidly, particularly in the Southwest. The economic growth, while positive, may not be keeping pace with state or national averages, which could indicate some economic challenges despite the population increase.
Based on the observed trends, Seguin is likely to continue its trajectory as a Majority-Minority city with an increasing Hispanic majority. The Hispanic population may exceed 55% within the next five years if current trends continue. The White population may decrease to around 35-37%, while other racial groups may see slight increases, potentially leading to a more diverse mix of minority populations.
Economically, if the city can capitalize on its growing, diverse workforce, it may see continued income growth. However, the fluctuations in median income suggest potential economic vulnerabilities that could impact future growth.
Seguin may transition from a Majority-Minority city with Hispanic plurality to a clear Hispanic Majority city within the next decade. This could bring both opportunities and challenges, potentially requiring adjustments in local services, education, and economic development strategies to serve an increasingly diverse population effectively.