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Demographic Shift and Racial Composition in Corcoran, California: A Study from 2013 to 2022
CATEGORY
Demographics
DATA
Population
Median Income
Racial Distributions
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Demographics
Population
Median Income
Racial Distributions
Corcoran, California, presents a demographic profile categorized as a "Hispanic Majority" community. As of 2022, the Hispanic population constitutes 74% of the city's residents. The city's current median income is $42,708 with a population of 23,654, indicating a modest-sized urban area with lower-middle-income levels compared to California's overall economic landscape.
Over the past decade, Corcoran has undergone a demographic transformation. In 2013, the city was classified as having "Moderate Diversity" with a Hispanic plurality (64%), White (19%), and Black (12%) populations. The trend shows a steady increase in the Hispanic population, transitioning the city into a "Hispanic Majority" category by 2016 when it surpassed 65%.
This shift has been accompanied by a decline in the White population, from 19% in 2013 to 13% in 2022, while the Black population has remained relatively stable, fluctuating between 9-13% over the decade. The Asian, Native American, and multiracial populations have maintained minimal representation throughout this period.
The demographic shifts correlate with economic changes. The median income has shown overall growth, rising from $35,563 in 2013 to $42,708 in 2022, an increase of about 20%. This growth has not been linear. There was a dip in 2015 to $33,068, followed by a recovery and then an increase to $49,080 in 2021, before declining again in 2022.
Corcoran's demographic shift towards a Hispanic majority aligns with trends seen in many parts of California, particularly in agricultural and working-class communities. The economic volatility may reflect broader economic challenges faced by similar-sized cities in the state.
Based on observed trends, Corcoran is likely to continue as a "Hispanic Majority" community, with the possibility of further increasing this majority. The White and Black populations may continue to decrease slightly or stabilize at their current levels.
Economically, the city may experience continued volatility in median income, reflecting both local demographic shifts and broader economic factors. If the Hispanic population continues to increase and becomes more economically established, there might be a gradual rise in median income.
Corcoran might evolve into a "Consolidated Hispanic Majority" community, where the Hispanic population exceeds 80% and begins to show increased economic stratification within the group. This could lead to new dynamics in local governance, business ownership, and community services.
