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Demographic Evolution of Naylor Neighborhood: Hispanic Majority and Racial Composition Trends
CATEGORY
Demographics
DATA
Population
Median Income
Racial Distributions
Loading Content...
Demographics
Population
Median Income
Racial Distributions
The Naylor neighborhood in Tucson, Arizona, has undergone significant demographic changes over the past decade. As of 2022, it is classified as a "Hispanic Majority" community, with 68% of the population identifying as Hispanic. This represents a notable shift from previous years and reflects broader demographic trends in the Southwest. The neighborhood has a median income of $28,094 as of 2022, which is below the national average.
From 2013 to 2016, Naylor exhibited "Moderate Diversity" with a significant White population (44-61%) and a substantial Hispanic minority (22-38%). Between 2017 and 2019, the community transitioned to "High Diversity". The Black population increased from 2% to 33-45%, while the White population decreased from 53% to 15-26%. Hispanic representation remained relatively stable at 34-43%.
From 2020 to 2022, Naylor transitioned to a "Hispanic Majority", with the Hispanic population growing from 54% to 68%. This shift coincided with a decrease in the Black population from 24% to 6% and a relatively stable White population of 16-22%. These transitions indicate a dynamic and rapidly changing community.
The median income in Naylor has fluctuated over the decade, showing a general downward trend. In 2013, it was $31,457. It reached its lowest point in 2016 at $25,675, peaked in 2019 at $33,896, and settled at $28,094 in 2022. The shift to a Hispanic Majority coincided with a period of income volatility. The highest median income was recorded in 2019 when the community exhibited High Diversity.
Population figures have also fluctuated significantly. In 2013, the population was 1,042. It dropped to its lowest point of 634 in 2016, peaked at 1,753 in 2021, and decreased to 1,179 in 2022. The sharp increase in population from 2016 to 2021, followed by a decrease in 2022, suggests a period of rapid change that may have affected community dynamics.
The shift towards a Hispanic Majority in Naylor aligns with broader demographic trends in the Southwest United States. Many urban areas in Arizona, Texas, and California have experienced similar transitions over the past decade. However, the rapid nature of this change in Naylor, coupled with significant fluctuations in population and income, suggests a more volatile transition than in many other areas.
The economic challenges faced by Naylor, as evidenced by its below-average median income, are not uncommon in neighborhoods undergoing rapid demographic shifts. However, the extent of income fluctuation is notable and may indicate a need for targeted economic development initiatives.
Naylor represents a community in transition, moving from Moderate Diversity to High Diversity and finally to a Hispanic Majority over the course of a decade. This demographic evolution has been accompanied by economic volatility, presenting both challenges and opportunities for community development and integration. The neighborhood's experience offers insights into the complex interplay between demographic change and economic conditions in urban America.
