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Demographic Evolution of Lincolnia, Virginia: A Study of Racial Diversity from 2013 to 2022
CATEGORY
Demographics
DATA
Population
Median Income
Racial Distributions
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Demographics
Population
Median Income
Racial Distributions
Lincolnia, Virginia, is a Moderate Diversity community with a population of 20,861 as of 2022. The racial composition includes White (33%), Black (26%), Hispanic (21%), and Asian (14%) residents, with a multiracial population of 5%. The median income is $108,311, positioning Lincolnia as a diverse, upper-middle-class suburb of the Washington D.C. metropolitan area.
Over the past decade, Lincolnia has transitioned from a White Plurality community to a Moderate Diversity community. The white population share decreased from 35% to 33%, while the Black population increased from 18% to 26%. The Hispanic population decreased from 30% to 21%, and the Asian population remained relatively stable. The multiracial population grew from 1% in 2013 to 5% in 2022, suggesting a trend towards becoming a Transitional Community.
The median income increased from $102,137 to $108,311 between 2013 and 2022, representing a 6% growth. The highest median income was recorded in 2021 at $116,016. The population fluctuated, peaking at 26,114 in 2016 before declining to 20,861 in 2022. These trends indicate that the community has maintained its upper-middle-class status while becoming more diverse.
The demographic changes in Lincolnia reflect broader trends in the Washington D.C. metropolitan area, which has seen increasing diversity and a growing Black middle class in its suburbs. Lincolnia's changes are more pronounced than national averages, particularly in the growth of its Black population and the decline in its Hispanic population.
Based on observed trends, Lincolnia is likely to continue its trajectory towards becoming a High Diversity community. The steady increase in the multiracial population, coupled with the more balanced distribution among racial groups, suggests that no single group will dominate in the coming years. Economically, the area is likely to maintain its upper-middle-class status, but may see more income equality across racial groups as the community becomes more integrated.
Lincolnia represents a microcosm of America's changing suburban landscape, transitioning from a predominantly white area to a diverse, economically stable community. This evolution reflects broader national trends towards increased racial integration in affluent suburbs, particularly those near major metropolitan areas.
