Demographic Composition and Racial Trends in San Francisco's Outer Mission Neighborhood

CATEGORY

Demographics

DATA

Population

Median Income

Racial Distributions

DATA SOURCE

United States Census Bureau: American Community Survey Data (ACS)

The Outer Mission neighborhood of San Francisco exhibits a "Majority-Minority" demographic composition. Asian Americans form the largest racial group at 62% in 2022, though not exceeding the 50% threshold for a racial majority. The community has experienced subtle shifts in its racial makeup over the past decade, accompanied by economic changes. The Outer Mission is characterized by a mix of cultures, reflected in its diverse local businesses and community events.

Throughout the analyzed period (2013-2022), the Outer Mission has maintained its "Majority-Minority" status. The Asian population has remained the dominant group, fluctuating between 60% and 64%. The Hispanic population, the second-largest group, has shown a gradual increase from 23% in 2013 to 27% in 2022. The White population has decreased from 11% to 8% over the same period.

The neighborhood has shown signs of being a "Transitional Community," particularly with the growing Hispanic population and a slight increase in those identifying as two or more races. This gradual shift suggests an evolving community fabric, potentially influenced by factors such as immigration patterns, housing affordability, or cultural attractions in the area.

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The median income in the Outer Mission has increased from $94,782 in 2013 to $101,021 in 2022, with a peak of $115,879 in 2021. This upward trend in income correlates with the subtle demographic shifts. The population has remained relatively stable over the decade, with only minor fluctuations.

The Outer Mission's demographic and economic trends reflect broader patterns seen in many urban areas across the United States, particularly in diverse, coastal cities. The growing Asian and Hispanic populations mirror national trends of increasing diversity in metropolitan areas. The neighborhood's high proportion of Asian residents (62%) is above the national average and San Francisco's citywide average.

The income growth in the Outer Mission outpaces national averages, aligning with the economic expansion seen in many tech-centric urban areas. The stability in population despite rising incomes may reflect San Francisco's challenges with housing affordability and development constraints.

The Outer Mission presents a picture of a stable yet slowly evolving "Majority-Minority" community with strong Asian and growing Hispanic influences. Its economic trajectory suggests increasing prosperity, potentially making it an attractive area for diverse, upwardly mobile residents while maintaining its distinctive cultural character.

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