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Demographics
Population
Median Income
Racial Distributions
Paradise, California, is a small community that has undergone significant demographic changes over the past decade. As of 2022, the city has Low Diversity, with a white majority comprising 67% of the population. This categorization masks a complex and evolving demographic landscape that has seen substantial shifts in recent years.
Paradise has transitioned from an area of extreme Low Diversity to one that is approaching Moderate Diversity. In 2013, the community was 94% white, with minimal representation from other racial groups. Over the past decade, the white population percentage dropped to 67% by 2022. This change has been primarily driven by an increase in the Hispanic population, which grew from 2% in 2013 to 29% in 2022.
The community has shown characteristics of a Transitional Community, particularly in the last five years. The Hispanic population has shown a consistent upward trend, more than doubling from 14% in 2018 to 29% in 2022. The percentage of individuals identifying as two or more races has fluctuated but generally increased over time.
The demographic shifts have coincided with fluctuations in median income. The median income peaked in 2013 at $92,136, then declined to a low of $67,727 in 2017 before rebounding to $93,318 in 2022. This U-shaped trend in income correlates with the period of most significant demographic change, suggesting a possible relationship between economic factors and racial composition shifts.
The population has remained relatively stable over the past decade, hovering around 250-280 residents since 2017, after a period of decline from 2010 to 2016. This stability in population size, combined with significant changes in racial composition, indicates that the demographic shifts are likely due to in-migration of Hispanic residents and possibly out-migration of white residents, rather than natural population growth.
The trend of increasing Hispanic population is consistent with broader California demographic shifts. However, the rapid pace of change in Paradise is notable and may be influenced by its small size, making percentage changes appear more dramatic.
Based on the observed trends, Paradise is likely to continue its trajectory towards greater diversity. If current trends persist, the community may transition from Low Diversity to Moderate Diversity within the next 5-10 years. The Hispanic population may continue to grow, potentially reaching or exceeding 35-40% of the total population.
Economically, if the correlation between demographic shifts and median income holds, we might expect to see continued income growth or stabilization as the community becomes more diverse. However, this prediction should be tempered by the understanding that small communities can be more susceptible to economic volatility due to their limited size.
Paradise represents a microcosm of demographic change, transitioning from a homogeneous community to one with increasing diversity. This shift, primarily driven by Hispanic population growth, has coincided with economic fluctuations and eventual recovery. As the community continues to evolve, it will be crucial to monitor how these changes impact local social dynamics, economic opportunities, and community services to ensure a smooth transition and inclusive growth for all residents.