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Demographic and Racial Trends in Mesquite Ranch, Tucson: A Study of Suburban Diversity
CATEGORY
Demographics
DATA
Population
Median Income
Racial Distributions
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Demographics
Population
Median Income
Racial Distributions
Mesquite Ranch, a neighborhood in Tucson, Arizona, exhibits a demographic profile categorized as a "White Majority" community with increasing diversity. As of 2022, the neighborhood has a population of 2,213 and a median income of $85,901. Mesquite Ranch has experienced significant population growth over the past decade, indicating it is a newer or rapidly expanding area within Tucson.
Over the past decade, Mesquite Ranch has transitioned from a "Low Diversity" community to one approaching "Moderate Diversity." In 2013, the neighborhood was in the "White Majority" category with 65% of the population identifying as white. By 2022, while maintaining a white majority at 57%, the community has seen increases in other racial groups.
The Hispanic population has shown the most substantial growth, increasing from 25% in 2013 to 32% in 2022. This shift, along with increases in Asian, Black, and multiracial populations, indicates a trend towards a more diverse community makeup. If these trends continue, Mesquite Ranch could potentially transition to a "Moderate Diversity" or "Majority-Minority" status in the coming years.
The demographic shifts in Mesquite Ranch have been accompanied by economic changes. The median income has seen fluctuations but an overall upward trend, rising from $77,525 in 2013 to $85,901 in 2022, with a peak of $102,106 in 2021. This economic growth coincides with the increasing diversity, suggesting that the neighborhood is attracting affluent residents from various racial backgrounds.
The population has grown from 2,053 in 2013 to 2,213 in 2022, with a peak of 2,785 in 2019 before a slight decline during the COVID-19 pandemic. This population growth, coupled with rising incomes, indicates that Mesquite Ranch is an attractive area for new residents.
The trends observed in Mesquite Ranch align with broader national patterns of increasing diversity in suburban areas. Many U.S. suburbs have experienced similar demographic shifts over the past decade, with growing Hispanic and Asian populations. The neighborhood's income growth also reflects a national trend of economic recovery and growth following the 2008 recession, although Mesquite Ranch's median income remains above the national average.
The slight population decline from 2019 to 2022 could be attributed to the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic. However, the relatively stable population and continued income rise suggest that Mesquite Ranch has weathered the pandemic's economic impacts comparatively well.
Mesquite Ranch exemplifies a suburban neighborhood in transition, moving from a predominantly white, affluent enclave to a more diverse community while maintaining economic prosperity. This evolution reflects broader national trends of suburban diversification and could indicate changing preferences among homebuyers or shifts in local housing and development policies.
