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Demographics
Population
Median Income
Racial Distributions
Dobson Ranch, a neighborhood in Mesa, Arizona, exhibits a demographic profile categorized as a "White Majority" community, with 60% of the population identifying as white in 2022. This majority has been decreasing over the past decade, indicating a trend towards increased diversity. The neighborhood's median income of $70,882 in 2022 suggests a relatively affluent area, exceeding the national median household income. Dobson Ranch is characterized by its man-made lake system and extensive green spaces, contributing to its appeal as a suburban area in Mesa's desert landscape.
Over the past decade, Dobson Ranch has been transitioning from a "Low Diversity" community to one approaching "Moderate Diversity." In 2013, the white population constituted 66% of the neighborhood, near "Low Diversity" status. By 2022, this percentage decreased to 60%, while Hispanic representation increased from 19% to 23%, and the proportion of residents identifying as two or more races doubled from 3% to 6%. This shift indicates that Dobson Ranch is becoming a "Transitional Community," with increasing representation from minority groups. The consistent decline in the white majority and the growth of Hispanic and multiracial populations suggest a trend towards greater diversity, though the community has not yet reached "Majority-Minority" status.
Concurrent with these demographic changes, Dobson Ranch has experienced economic growth. The median income increased from $59,089 in 2013 to $70,882 in 2022, a rise of nearly 20%. This economic improvement coincides with increasing diversity, suggesting that the neighborhood has been attracting a more diverse, affluent population. The population growth pattern does not directly mirror income trends. The population peaked in 2019 at 18,280 residents before declining slightly to 17,267 in 2022, potentially indicating a shift towards smaller household sizes or a preference for more spacious living arrangements among the increasingly affluent and diverse population.
The demographic shifts observed in Dobson Ranch align with broader trends seen across many suburban areas in the United States, particularly in the Southwest. The increasing Hispanic population reflects the growing Hispanic influence in Arizona and neighboring states. The rise in residents identifying as two or more races is consistent with national trends, as multiracial identities become more common and accepted.
The economic growth in Dobson Ranch outpaces the national average, suggesting that the neighborhood has been successful in attracting higher-income residents across various racial groups. This trend could be partly attributed to the neighborhood's features, such as its lake system and green spaces, which may appeal to a diverse range of affluent professionals and families seeking a high quality of life in a suburban setting.
Dobson Ranch exemplifies a community in transition, moving from a predominantly white, upper-middle-class suburb to a more diverse and increasingly affluent neighborhood. This evolution reflects broader demographic shifts occurring across the United States, particularly in growing metropolitan areas in the Southwest. The neighborhood's ability to maintain economic growth while increasing diversity suggests a positive trajectory that could serve as a model for other communities navigating similar demographic changes.