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Demographic and Economic Trends in Powell Estates: A Hispanic Majority Neighborhood in Mesa, Arizona
CATEGORY
Demographics
DATA
Population
Median Income
Racial Distributions
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Demographics
Population
Median Income
Racial Distributions
Powell Estates, a neighborhood in Mesa, Arizona, is classified as a Hispanic Majority community with a median income of $77,021 as of 2022. The neighborhood has undergone significant demographic and economic changes over the past decade. Powell Estates is located near the Mesa Arizona Temple, a landmark of the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints.
In 2013, Powell Estates was categorized as a Hispanic Majority community, with 77% of the population identifying as Hispanic. This categorization remained consistent throughout the decade, with the Hispanic population fluctuating between 64% and 77%. The Asian population increased from 1% in 2013 to 3% by 2021, before declining to 1% in 2022. The Black population, which was not significantly represented until 2019, grew to 8% by 2022. The White population decreased from 20% in 2013 to 19% in 2020, then stabilized at 20% in 2021 and 2022. These changes indicate a trend towards increased diversity, suggesting a Transitional Community slowly moving towards Moderate Diversity.
The median income in Powell Estates has shown notable growth, particularly in recent years. From 2013 to 2016, there was a significant decline in median income, dropping from $50,514 to $34,188. From 2017 onwards, there has been a consistent upward trend, with median income reaching a peak of $95,672 in 2021 before decreasing to $77,021 in 2022. This economic growth coincides with the subtle increases in diversity, suggesting that the neighborhood may be attracting a more diverse, affluent population while maintaining its Hispanic Majority status.
Population figures have fluctuated over the decade, ranging from a low of 1,309 in 2015 to a high of 2,024 in 2017. The 2022 population of 1,673 represents a moderate increase from the 2013 figure of 1,550.
The demographic shifts in Powell Estates align with broader trends in Arizona and the United States, where Hispanic populations have been growing. However, the neighborhood's Hispanic Majority is significantly higher than the state and national averages. The economic growth in Powell Estates is noteworthy, as it outpaces the national median household income growth rate. This suggests that the neighborhood may be experiencing localized economic development or gentrification, which could be attracting a more diverse population while potentially affecting long-term Hispanic residents.
Powell Estates presents a case of a Hispanic Majority community experiencing economic growth and subtle demographic shifts. While maintaining its strong Hispanic character, the neighborhood shows signs of becoming a Transitional Community, moving towards Moderate Diversity. The economic uplift, if sustained, could lead to further changes in the neighborhood's composition and character in the coming years.
