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Demographic Analysis of ZIP Code 96140: Persistent White Majority in Carnelian Bay
CATEGORY
Demographics
DATA
Population
Median Income
Racial Distributions
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Demographics
Population
Median Income
Racial Distributions
Carnelian Bay (ZIP code 96140) in California is classified as a "Low Diversity" community with a "White Majority." As of 2022, the white population constitutes 82% of the total, exceeding the 75% threshold for low diversity. The area has a population of 1,367 and a median income of $85,301, which is above the national average.
Over the past decade, Carnelian Bay has maintained its status as a "Low Diversity" community with a "White Majority." From 2013-2015, the community showed signs of moving towards "Moderate Diversity" with the Hispanic population reaching 19-23%, but this trend reversed in subsequent years. From 2016 onwards, the community solidified its "Low Diversity" status, with the white population consistently above 75%. Since 2020, there has been a slight increase in diversity, with the introduction of a measurable Asian population (4-5%) and an increase in those identifying as two or more races (6-8%).
The area has experienced fluctuations in median income over the past decade. From 2013 to 2016, median income was consistently high, over $100,000, correlating with a period of slightly higher diversity. A sharp decline occurred from 2017 to 2019, with the median income dropping as low as $65,061 in 2018. Since 2020, there has been a recovery in median income, reaching $109,379 in 2021 before moderating to $85,301 in 2022. This economic rebound aligns with a slight increase in racial diversity.
Population has fluctuated over the years, with a noticeable increase from 977 in 2019 to 1,398 in 2021, potentially indicating an influx of new residents that may be contributing to the slight increase in diversity.
Carnelian Bay's demographic profile contrasts with California's overall trend towards increasing diversity. The state is known for its "Majority-Minority" status, making this zip code's persistent "White Majority" and "Low Diversity" categorization stand out.
The area's economic fluctuations, particularly the sharp decline and subsequent recovery in median income, may reflect broader economic trends such as the recovery from the 2008 financial crisis and the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. However, the community's consistently above-average income suggests a level of economic resilience.
While Carnelian Bay has maintained its status as a "Low Diversity" community with a "White Majority" over the past decade, subtle shifts in racial composition and significant economic fluctuations indicate a dynamic local environment. The recent slight increase in diversity, coupled with economic recovery, may signal the beginning of a gradual transition towards more diversity in the future, though it remains to be seen if this trend will continue or accelerate.
