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Demographic Analysis of Zip Code 20186: White Majority and Racial Composition Trends
CATEGORY
Demographics
DATA
Population
Median Income
Racial Distributions
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Demographics
Population
Median Income
Racial Distributions
The zip code 20186 in Warrenton, Virginia, is classified as a "Low Diversity" community with a "White Majority" as of 2022. The population is 76% white, with a median income of $95,879. This affluent suburb has maintained a stable demographic composition over the past decade, with minor shifts towards increased diversity.
From 2013 to 2022, Warrenton has consistently remained a "Low Diversity" area with a "White Majority." The white population decreased slightly from 79% in 2015 to 76% in 2022. The Asian population increased from 1% in 2013 to 2% in 2022. The Hispanic population remained between 6-8%. The Black population stayed around 10%. The population identifying as two or more races grew from 3% in 2013 to 5% in 2022.
The median income in Warrenton has fluctuated over the past decade. It reached a peak of $106,854 in 2017. A significant decrease occurred in 2020, dropping to $94,887, likely due to the economic impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic. As of 2022, the median income is $95,879, showing some recovery but not yet reaching pre-pandemic levels.
The economic trends correlate with demographic shifts. The slight increase in diversity coincides with periods of higher median income (2014-2019), suggesting that economic prosperity may have attracted a more diverse population. The economic downturn in 2020 coincides with a slight increase in the white population percentage, potentially indicating that minority groups may have been more affected by the economic challenges.
Warrenton's median income is higher than the national median, which was around $70,784 in 2021, indicating an affluent suburb. The community's racial composition is less diverse than the national average. As of 2021, the U.S. Census Bureau reported that the white population made up about 60% of the nation, compared to 76% in Warrenton. The gradual increase in diversity aligns with broader national trends of increasing diversity in suburban areas.
Warrenton remains a predominantly white, affluent suburb with subtle signs of increasing diversity. The community appears to be in the early stages of a demographic transition. The high median income and stable economy of the area may continue to attract a more diverse population, potentially leading to a shift from "Low Diversity" to "Moderate Diversity" in the future. However, any such transition is likely to be gradual given the current demographic composition.
