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Demographic Analysis of Zip Code 12788: White Majority with Increasing Black Population
CATEGORY
Demographics
DATA
Population
Median Income
Racial Distributions
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Demographics
Population
Median Income
Racial Distributions
Zip code 12788 in Woodbourne, New York, is classified as a "White Majority" area with moderate diversity as of 2022. The white population comprises 65% of the total, while Black (17%) and Hispanic (14%) groups have significant representation. The median income in 2022 was $67,280, and the population was 3,069.
Over the past decade, Woodbourne has experienced subtle demographic changes. The area has maintained its status as a "White Majority" community, with the white population consistently above 60%. However, there has been a slight decrease from 71% in 2020 to 65% in 2022. The most significant change has been the growth in the Black population, rising from 11% in 2013 to 17% in 2022. This shift has moved the area closer to a "Moderate Diversity" classification.
The Hispanic population has shown variability, peaking at 18% in 2013-2014, then declining to 13% in 2020, before slightly increasing to 14% in 2022. Asian and Two or More Races categories have remained relatively stable, each consistently representing 1-4% of the population.
The economic landscape of Woodbourne has shown considerable volatility. Median income has fluctuated significantly, peaking at $113,306 in 2013, then dropping sharply to $58,251 in 2015. It has since shown a general upward trend, reaching $80,211 in 2021 before decreasing to $67,280 in 2022. The population has also fluctuated, dropping from 2,998 in 2013 to a low of 2,489 in 2018, then rebounding to 3,282 in 2021 before slightly decreasing to 3,069 in 2022.
The sharp drop in median income from 2013 to 2015 coincided with a period of relative stability in racial demographics, suggesting that economic factors were likely driven by external forces rather than demographic shifts. The gradual increase in the Black population percentage from 2015 onwards has coincided with a general upward trend in median income, though the relationship does not appear to be direct. The population surge in 2021, accompanied by a significant increase in median income, also saw a notable increase in the Black population percentage (from 12% to 20%). This could indicate an influx of middle to upper-income Black residents.
The increasing diversity, particularly the growth in the Black population, aligns with national trends of increasing racial diversity in suburban and rural areas. The income volatility may reflect broader economic trends such as the recovery from the 2008 financial crisis and the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic. The maintenance of a White Majority status, despite increasing diversity, is common in many areas transitioning from low to moderate diversity.
Woodbourne appears to be in a state of gradual transition, moving towards increased racial diversity while experiencing economic fluctuations. These changes, while significant, have not fundamentally altered the community's demographic character but suggest a trend towards a more diverse and economically dynamic future.
