The city's median income has shown an overall upward trend, rising from $152,705 in 2013 to $174,593 in 2021, before decreasing to $157,440 in 2022. This general increase in median income correlates with the subtle increases in racial diversity.

The population has grown from 23,002 in 2010 to 25,179 in 2022, indicating a stable community. This population growth, combined with rising incomes, may be contributing to the gradual diversification of the city.

University Park's changes in diversity are minor compared to national trends. The city's high median income and predominantly white population suggest it remains a highly exclusive community, potentially limiting more rapid demographic changes.

Based on observed trends, University Park is likely to continue its slow transition towards increased diversity. However, it is unlikely to shift from its white majority, low diversity classification in the near future.

If current trends continue, the white population percentage may drop below 80% in the next 5-10 years. Further increases in the Hispanic and Asian populations, as well as those identifying as two or more races, are expected. The median income is likely to remain significantly above national averages.

While these changes may eventually lead University Park towards a transitional community classification, this transition would likely take several more decades at the current rate of change. The city's high property values and exclusive nature may continue to act as a barrier to rapid diversification, maintaining its status as a predominantly affluent, white community for the foreseeable future.