Loading Content...
Demographic Analysis of Trails End Neighborhood: White Majority and Racial Composition Changes
CATEGORY
Demographics
DATA
Population
Median Income
Racial Distributions
Loading Content...
Demographics
Population
Median Income
Racial Distributions
The Trails End neighborhood in Chandler, Arizona, exhibits low diversity with a white majority. In 2022, the white population constituted 81% of the community. The neighborhood experienced significant economic growth over the past decade, with median income rising from $73,791 in 2013 to $88,216 in 2022, reflecting a 19.5% increase. Trails End is located near the Chandler Fashion Center, one of the largest malls in Arizona.
Over the past decade, Trails End maintained its status as a predominantly white community, falling under the "Low Diversity" category throughout most of the observed period. From 2013 to 2019, the neighborhood showed signs of transitioning towards moderate diversity. The Asian population increased from 3% in 2013 to 21% in 2019, while the white population decreased from 79% to 66%. This trend reversed in 2020-2022, with the white population rebounding to 81% and the Asian population declining to 6%, reinforcing the "Low Diversity" classification. The Hispanic population remained relatively stable, fluctuating between 8% and 14% throughout the decade.
The demographic shifts correlate with economic changes. The period of increasing diversity (2013-2019) coincided with modest income growth, from $73,791 to $77,988, a 5.7% increase. The return to low diversity (2020-2022) aligned with a sharp increase in median income, jumping from $77,988 in 2019 to $88,216 in 2022, a 13.1% rise in three years. Population figures fluctuated, ranging from a low of 669 in 2020 and 2022 to a high of 802 in 2019.
The income growth in Trails End outpaces the national average. According to U.S. Census Bureau data, the national median household income grew by about 10% from 2013 to 2022, while Trails End saw a 19.5% increase. The neighborhood's racial composition differs significantly from Arizona's overall demographics. As of 2022, Arizona's population was approximately 54% white, 32% Hispanic, and 4% Asian, indicating that Trails End is considerably less diverse than the state average. The fluctuation in racial composition, particularly the rise and fall of the Asian population, may reflect broader trends in tech industry employment or educational opportunities in the Chandler area, which has been known for its growing tech sector.
Trails End presents a case of a neighborhood that briefly moved towards increasing diversity but ultimately returned to a low diversity, white-majority status. This demographic shift coincided with significant economic growth, particularly in recent years. The neighborhood's evolution raises questions about the relationship between racial composition, economic prosperity, and community dynamics in suburban Arizona.
