Loading Content...
Loading Content...
Demographics
Population
Median Income
Racial Distributions
San Juan Capistrano, a city in California, exhibits characteristics of a White Majority community with a significant Hispanic population. As of 2022, the city's population is 39,937 with a median household income of $119,002. The racial composition shows 54% white and 37% Hispanic residents, indicating a moderately diverse community approaching Majority-Minority status.
Over the past decade, San Juan Capistrano has been gradually shifting from a clear White Majority towards a more diverse community makeup. In 2013, the city was firmly in the White Majority category with 56% white residents. By 2022, this percentage had decreased to 54%, while the Hispanic population remained relatively stable around 35-38%. This trend suggests a slow but steady movement towards a Majority-Minority status, though it hasn't reached that threshold yet.
The Asian population has shown a notable increase, doubling from 3% in 2013 to 5% in 2022. The percentage of residents identifying as two or more races has quadrupled from 1% to 4% over the same period, indicating a Transitional Community in terms of increasing diversity.
San Juan Capistrano has experienced significant economic growth. The median household income has risen from $102,501 in 2013 to $119,002 in 2022, representing a 16% increase. This growth suggests that the city has maintained its economic attractiveness while becoming more diverse.
The population growth has been modest, increasing from 39,761 in 2013 to 39,937 in 2022, indicating that the demographic changes are more likely due to shifting compositions within the existing population rather than large-scale immigration or outmigration.
The trends observed in San Juan Capistrano align with broader patterns seen across California and many parts of the United States, where communities are becoming increasingly diverse. The city's economic growth outpaces the national average, suggesting it remains an attractive location for residents across various demographic groups.
Based on the observed trends, San Juan Capistrano will likely continue its trajectory towards greater diversity. Within the next decade, the city may transition from a White Majority to a Majority-Minority community if current trends persist. The Hispanic population may become the plurality group, while continued growth in Asian and multiracial populations could push the city towards High Diversity status.
Economically, if the upward trend in median income continues, San Juan Capistrano may further solidify its position as an affluent community. This could potentially lead to gentrification pressures, which might impact the rate of diversification.
San Juan Capistrano exemplifies a Transitional Community, moving from a White Majority towards a more diverse demographic makeup while experiencing robust economic growth. This evolution reflects broader national trends towards increased diversity in suburban communities, particularly in coastal states like California.