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Demographic Analysis of Rancho Bernardo: White Majority with Increasing Diversity
CATEGORY
Demographics
DATA
Population
Median Income
Racial Distributions
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Demographics
Population
Median Income
Racial Distributions
Rancho Bernardo, a neighborhood in San Diego, California, is characterized as a White Majority community with Moderate Diversity as of 2022. The white population constitutes 60% of the neighborhood, with Asian (20%) and Hispanic (11%) populations forming significant minorities. The area has a median income of $111,945 in 2022, which is above the national average. Rancho Bernardo is designed as a master-planned community and features numerous golf courses and a strong presence of the tech industry.
Over the past decade, Rancho Bernardo has gradually transitioned from a Low Diversity community towards Moderate Diversity. The white population decreased from 66% in 2013 to 60% in 2022, while other racial groups experienced modest increases. The Asian population remained relatively stable between 16-20% throughout the decade. The Hispanic population increased slightly from 9% in 2013 to 11% in 2022. The category of "Two or More Races" doubled from 3% in 2013 to 7% in 2022, indicating a trend towards increased racial mixing.
The median income in Rancho Bernardo has shown volatility over the decade, with an overall upward trend. It peaked at $128,474 in 2021 before dropping to $111,945 in 2022. The population grew modestly from 53,279 in 2013 to 56,214 in 2022, a 5.5% increase. These economic and population trends suggest that Rancho Bernardo remains an attractive location for diverse, affluent residents.
The demographic shifts in Rancho Bernardo align with broader trends seen across California and the United States, where traditionally white-majority areas are becoming more diverse. However, the pace of change in Rancho Bernardo appears to be slower than in many other urban areas, likely due to its established nature as an affluent suburb.
The neighborhood's high median income places it well above both the San Diego metro area median and the national median. This economic strength may be a factor in the gradual nature of demographic changes, as high property values can limit rapid population turnover.
The increasing diversity, particularly the growth in multiracial residents, aligns with national trends. The 2020 U.S. Census showed that the multiracial population grew significantly faster than any single-race population between 2010 and 2020.
Rancho Bernardo remains a White Majority community but is slowly evolving towards greater diversity. This change, coupled with its sustained economic prosperity, suggests a gradual integration of various racial groups into this affluent suburban enclave, potentially setting the stage for more significant demographic shifts in the coming decades.
