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Demographics
Population
Median Income
Racial Distributions
Natchez Trace Estates, a neighborhood in Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government, Tennessee, exhibits characteristics of Low Diversity, with a strong White Majority. As of 2022, the neighborhood has a population of 751 and a median income of $131,284. This affluent area is located near the historic Natchez Trace Parkway, a scenic route connecting Nashville to Natchez, Mississippi.
Over the past decade, Natchez Trace Estates has maintained its status as a Low Diversity, White Majority community. The percentage of white residents has remained above 75% throughout the period, ranging from 79% in 2020 to 96% in 2016. The Asian population showed fluctuations, peaking at 12% in 2020, but declining to 2% by 2022. The Black population has remained consistently low, never exceeding 3% throughout the decade. The percentage of residents identifying as two or more races has grown from 2% in 2013 to 4% in 2022.
The neighborhood has experienced economic fluctuations correlating with its demographic shifts. Median income reached its highest point of $153,750 in 2016, coinciding with the period of lowest diversity. Since 2016, there has been a general downward trend in median income, dropping to $131,284 in 2022. This period aligns with a slight increase in racial diversity. Despite income fluctuations, the population has grown steadily from 485 in 2010 to 751 in 2022.
Natchez Trace Estates' demographic and economic trends diverge from broader national patterns. While many urban areas in the U.S. have been experiencing increasing diversity, Natchez Trace Estates has maintained its low diversity status. This trend is more typical of affluent suburban enclaves. Despite recent declines, the neighborhood's median income remains significantly above the national average. This suggests that while experiencing some economic adjustments, Natchez Trace Estates remains a highly affluent area.
The consistent White Majority and steady population growth indicate a stable community structure, which contrasts with more dynamic demographic shifts seen in many urban neighborhoods across the country. Natchez Trace Estates presents a picture of a wealthy, predominantly white suburb that has largely maintained its demographic composition over the past decade. While showing signs of subtle shifts towards increased diversity, particularly with fluctuations in Asian population and growth in multiracial identification, the neighborhood remains characterized by low diversity.
The recent trend of slightly declining incomes coupled with population growth may suggest the beginning of broader changes, but the area remains significantly more affluent and less diverse than national averages.