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Demographic Analysis of McGovern, Pennsylvania: A Study of Racial Composition
CATEGORY
Demographics
DATA
Population
Median Income
Racial Distributions
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Demographics
Population
Median Income
Racial Distributions
McGovern, Pennsylvania, exhibits a demographic profile categorized as "Low Diversity" based on the available data. As of 2022, the white population constitutes 97% of the total, indicating a highly homogeneous racial composition. The city's median income of $80,441 in 2022 suggests a relatively affluent community, with a population of 4,117 residents.
Over the past decade, McGovern has consistently maintained its status as a "Low Diversity" community. The white population has remained the overwhelming majority, never dropping below 89% throughout the observed period. There have been subtle shifts within this category. The black population increased slightly from 3% in 2013 to a peak of 7% in 2016-2017, before declining to 2% by 2022. A small Hispanic presence emerged in 2020 and has remained at 2% through 2022. The "Two or More Races" category showed some fluctuation, peaking at 3% in 2017-2019 before disappearing in recent years.
The median income in McGovern has shown overall growth, with some fluctuations. From 2013 to 2019, there was relatively stable growth from $73,414 to $80,141. In 2020-2021, there was a significant jump to $99,322 in 2021. In 2022, there was a notable decrease to $80,441, returning to levels similar to 2019. The population has also grown from 3,471 in 2013 to 4,117 in 2022, indicating a steady increase in residents over the decade.
These economic trends do not seem to correlate strongly with the minor demographic shifts observed. The community has maintained its affluent status throughout the period, regardless of the slight changes in racial composition.
McGovern's demographic stability contrasts with national trends towards increasing diversity in many areas. The community's high median income and predominantly white population suggest it may be a suburban enclave that has remained relatively insulated from broader demographic shifts seen in more urban or diverse areas.
Based on the observed trends, McGovern is likely to remain a "Low Diversity" community in the near future. The slight increases in Hispanic and black populations, though small, might indicate a very slow trend towards slightly more diversity. However, given the minimal change over a decade, any significant shift would likely take many years to materialize.
If current trends continue, we might see a gradual increase in the Hispanic population, potentially reaching 3-4% in the next 5-10 years. There may be a possible re-emergence of the "Two or More Races" category, as younger generations may be more likely to identify as multiracial. Continued fluctuations in median income are likely, but the community will likely maintain an overall affluent status.
While these changes are worth monitoring, they are unlikely to be substantial enough to move McGovern out of the "Low Diversity" category in the foreseeable future. The community would need to experience much more significant demographic shifts to transition into a "Moderate Diversity" or "Transitional Community" category.
