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Demographic Analysis of Kerby Estates: A White Majority Neighborhood with Increasing Diversity
CATEGORY
Demographics
DATA
Population
Median Income
Racial Distributions
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Demographics
Population
Median Income
Racial Distributions
Kerby Estates, a neighborhood in Chandler, Arizona, is classified as a White Majority community with Moderate Diversity. As of 2022, the white population comprises 59% of residents, with Asian (22%) and Hispanic (8%) populations representing significant minorities. The neighborhood has a median income of $142,248, which is substantially higher than the national average. Kerby Estates is characterized by upscale homes and proximity to high-tech employers.
Over the past decade, Kerby Estates has maintained its status as a White Majority community, but with notable fluctuations. In 2013, the white population was 57%, nearly classifying the area as Majority-Minority. By 2015, it shifted towards Low Diversity with 69% white residents. Since then, the community has stabilized into a Moderate Diversity classification, with a white majority around 55-60% and increasing representation from other racial groups.
The Asian population has remained a significant minority, fluctuating between 19-27% over the decade. There has been a noticeable increase in the Black and Native American populations, though they remain small minorities. The community has also seen growth in residents identifying as two or more races, indicating a trend towards increased diversity.
The demographic shifts in Kerby Estates correlate with its economic trajectory. The median income increased from $123,780 in 2013 to $173,858 in 2021, before decreasing to $142,248 in 2022. This overall upward trend in income coincides with the stabilization of the white majority and the growth in Asian and other minority populations.
The population has grown from 2,479 in 2013 to 3,921 in 2022, a 58% increase. This population growth, coupled with rising incomes, suggests that Kerby Estates has become an increasingly desirable location for affluent professionals, likely attracted by job opportunities in Chandler's growing tech sector.
The trends observed in Kerby Estates align with patterns seen in affluent suburbs of major tech hubs across the United States. The increasing diversity, particularly the growth in Asian population, is similar to trends in areas like Silicon Valley or Seattle's Eastside, where high-paying tech jobs have attracted a diverse, highly educated workforce.
The neighborhood's economic growth outpaces national averages, with its median income more than double the U.S. median household income. This suggests that Kerby Estates is part of a select group of high-income enclaves that have benefited disproportionately from the tech boom and overall economic growth of the past decade.
The community's evolution from near Majority-Minority status to a more stable White Majority with increasing diversity reflects dynamics of gentrification, economic opportunity, and changing demographics in desirable suburban areas. While the neighborhood has become more diverse in some aspects, the high and rising income levels suggest potential barriers to entry for less affluent residents, which could limit overall socioeconomic diversity.
Kerby Estates exemplifies a high-income, predominantly white neighborhood that is gradually becoming more diverse, driven by economic opportunities and changing demographics. Its trajectory offers insights into how affluent suburbs are evolving in the face of technological and economic shifts, balancing between maintaining their established character and adapting to an increasingly diverse populace.
