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Demographic Analysis of Kelly Ranch: A Predominantly White Neighborhood with Emerging Diversity
CATEGORY
Demographics
DATA
Population
Median Income
Racial Distributions
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Demographics
Population
Median Income
Racial Distributions
Kelly Ranch, a neighborhood in Carlsbad, California, is classified as a White Majority community with Low Diversity. As of 2022, the white population constitutes 72% of the total, with a median income of $114,931. This affluent suburban area has maintained its status as a primarily white neighborhood over the past decade, although subtle demographic shifts are beginning to occur.
From 2013 to 2022, Kelly Ranch has consistently been categorized as "White Majority," with the white population remaining above 72%. However, a trend towards increased diversity is evident, albeit gradual. The white population has decreased from 78% in 2013 to 72% in 2022. The Asian population has fluctuated, reaching 12% in 2013 but settling at 8% in 2022. The Hispanic population has remained relatively stable, ranging between 3-12% over the decade. The most notable change is in the "Two or More Races" category, which increased from 1% in 2013 to 13% in 2022.
The neighborhood has experienced a general upward trend in median income. It rose from $100,444 in 2013 to $114,931 in 2022, an increase of approximately 14.4%. A significant increase occurred from 2019 to 2020, with median income rising from $107,372 to $115,600, coinciding with a substantial population decrease from 1,475 to 1,136. The highest median income was recorded in 2021 at $122,537, followed by a slight decrease in 2022.
These economic trends indicate that Kelly Ranch has remained an affluent area, potentially becoming more exclusive over time. The increase in median income, coupled with the population drop in 2020, may suggest a shift towards higher-value properties or an influx of wealthier residents.
Kelly Ranch's slow shift towards increased diversity aligns with broader national trends of increasing diversity in suburban areas, although the pace of change appears slower than national averages. The steady increase in median income, particularly the sharp rise in 2020-2021, may reflect broader economic trends seen in many affluent suburbs during the COVID-19 pandemic, where high-income earners were more likely to maintain or increase their wealth. The growth in the "Two or More Races" category is notable and aligns with national trends, as this has been one of the fastest-growing demographic categories across the United States in recent years.
In conclusion, while Kelly Ranch remains a predominantly white, affluent neighborhood, subtle demographic shifts and consistent economic growth suggest a community in the early stages of transition. These changes, though gradual, may have implications for local community dynamics, school systems, and housing markets in the coming years.
