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Demographic Analysis of Jamestown, New York: A Study of Race and Population Trends
CATEGORY
Demographics
DATA
Population
Median Income
Racial Distributions
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Demographics
Population
Median Income
Racial Distributions
Jamestown, New York, exhibits a demographic profile categorized as "Low Diversity" based on established criteria. As of 2022, the white population comprises 80% of the city's residents, dominating the racial composition. The city has experienced a gradual population decline over the past decade, along with modest fluctuations in median income.
Over the past decade, Jamestown has maintained its status as a "Low Diversity" community. The white population has remained the dominant racial group, decreasing slightly from 83% in 2013 to 80% in 2022. This minor shift has not been substantial enough to transition the city into a different diversity category. The Hispanic population has increased gradually from 9% in 2013 to 11% in 2022. The percentage of residents identifying as two or more races has doubled from 2% in 2013 to 4% in 2022. The Black population has remained relatively stable, fluctuating between 2-5% throughout the decade.
The median income in Jamestown has shown a general upward trend, increasing from $35,091 in 2013 to $38,020 in 2022, representing a growth of about 8.3% over nine years. The population has steadily decreased from 30,943 in 2013 to 28,679 in 2022, a decline of about 7.3%. This population loss, combined with the modest income growth, suggests economic challenges for the city.
The trends observed in Jamestown – slow diversification, modest income growth, and population decline – are consistent with patterns seen in many small to medium-sized post-industrial cities in the northeastern United States. These cities often struggle with maintaining population and attracting diverse economic opportunities.
Based on the observed trends, Jamestown is likely to continue its slow transition towards greater diversity over the coming years. However, the pace of change suggests that it will likely remain in the "Low Diversity" category for the foreseeable future. If current trends continue, the Hispanic population may reach 12-13% in the next 5-10 years. The multiracial category may increase to 5-6%. The white population may continue its slow decline but will likely remain above 75% for at least the next decade.
Economically, unless there are significant interventions or changes in local economic conditions, the city may continue to face challenges. The combination of population decline and slow income growth could potentially lead to further economic stagnation. Jamestown might eventually transition into a "Transitional Community" if the growth in Hispanic and multiracial populations accelerates, but this transition would likely take more than a decade at current rates of change. The city will need to address its economic challenges and population decline to create conditions more conducive to increased diversity and economic growth.
