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Demographic Analysis of Geneseo, Illinois: Racial Composition and Economic Trends
CATEGORY
Demographics
DATA
Population
Median Income
Racial Distributions
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Demographics
Population
Median Income
Racial Distributions
Geneseo, Illinois, exhibited low racial diversity from 2013 to 2022, with the white population constituting 94% of the total in 2022. The city's median income decreased from $71,040 in 2013 to $56,878 in 2022. This economic change, combined with minimal racial diversity, indicates a community experiencing demographic stagnation and economic challenges.
Throughout the observed period, Geneseo consistently maintained a low diversity categorization. The white population remained dominant, never falling below 93% of the total population. Minor shifts in diversity occurred, with the Hispanic population growing from 1% in 2013 to 3% in 2022, the Asian population maintaining 1% since 2018, and the emergence of a "Two or More Races" category reaching 2% by 2022. These changes suggest the initial stages of a potential transitional community, albeit at a slow pace.
The city experienced a significant decline in median income, decreasing by approximately 20% from 2013 to 2022. This economic downturn correlates with subtle increases in racial diversity, potentially indicating that economic pressures may be influencing demographic changes, with new groups moving in as economic opportunities shift. The declining income could also be affecting the ability of the dominant racial group to maintain its overwhelming majority.
The trends in Geneseo appear to differ from broader national trends of increasing diversity in many areas. The persistent low diversity categorization suggests that Geneseo may be somewhat isolated from larger demographic shifts occurring in more urban or economically dynamic regions.
Based on observed trends, Geneseo is likely to continue its slow transition towards increased diversity over the next decade. However, given the current pace of change, it is unlikely to shift dramatically from its low diversity category in the near future. The most probable scenario is a continued, gradual increase in Hispanic, Asian, and multiracial populations, potentially reaching a point where the city could be categorized as a transitional community within the next 10-15 years if current trends persist or accelerate.
If the downward trend in median income continues, it could accelerate demographic changes as the city becomes more affordable to a wider range of people. This could lead to a feedback loop where increasing diversity and decreasing median income reinforce each other, potentially leading to more significant demographic shifts in the long term.
Geneseo remains a predominantly white, low diversity community. Subtle demographic shifts and significant economic changes suggest the potential for more substantial transitions in the coming years. Monitoring these trends will be crucial for understanding the evolving nature of this small Illinois city.
