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Demographic Analysis of Elk Run: A Neighborhood Transitioning from Low to Moderate Diversity
CATEGORY
Demographics
DATA
Population
Median Income
Racial Distributions
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Demographics
Population
Median Income
Racial Distributions
Elk Run, a neighborhood in Flagstaff, Arizona, exhibits a specific demographic composition as of 2022. It is classified as a "White Majority" community with moderate diversity. The neighborhood has a population of 1,788 and a median income of $75,366. Elk Run's proximity to the Flagstaff Nordic Center, which offers cross-country skiing and snowshoeing trails, may influence its demographic makeup.
Over the past decade, Elk Run has undergone notable shifts in its racial composition. In 2013, the neighborhood was categorized as "Low Diversity," with the white population comprising 81% of residents. By 2022, while still maintaining a "White Majority" status, the community has moved towards "Moderate Diversity."
The most significant changes include a decrease in the white population from 81% in 2013 to 67% in 2022, an increase in the Native American population from 2% to 13% over the same period, fluctuations in the Hispanic population, peaking at 18% in 2017-2019 before declining to 5% in 2022, and the emergence of a small but growing Asian population, rising from 1% in 2013 to 5% in 2022. These shifts indicate that Elk Run is transitioning towards greater diversity, though at a gradual pace.
The demographic changes have coincided with overall economic growth in the neighborhood. The median income has increased from $72,604 in 2013 to $75,366 in 2022, with a peak of $84,821 in 2021. This growth in median income may have contributed to the neighborhood's attractiveness to a more diverse population, particularly for higher-income individuals from various racial backgrounds.
The population has fluctuated, starting at 1,292 in 2013, peaking at 1,791 in 2019, and settling at 1,788 in 2022. These fluctuations could be attributed to factors such as housing development, economic opportunities, or changes in the local job market.
The trends observed in Elk Run reflect broader national patterns of increasing diversity in suburban and urban areas. The significant growth in the Native American population is noteworthy and may be unique to this region, given Arizona's larger Native American population compared to national averages.
The economic growth in Elk Run aligns with national trends of rising incomes in many urban and suburban areas over the past decade. The neighborhood's median income remains above the national median, suggesting it is a relatively affluent area within Flagstaff.
Elk Run represents a community in transition, moving from low diversity to moderate diversity while maintaining economic stability and growth. These changes reflect both local dynamics and broader national trends towards increasing racial and ethnic diversity in American neighborhoods.
