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Demographic Analysis of Dominican/Black Canyon: A White Majority Neighborhood with Emerging Diversity
CATEGORY
Demographics
DATA
Population
Median Income
Racial Distributions
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Demographics
Population
Median Income
Racial Distributions
The Dominican/Black Canyon neighborhood in San Rafael, California, is characterized as a White Majority community with a high median income. As of 2022, the neighborhood is classified as "Low Diversity," with 69% of the population identifying as white. The median income of $161,339 in 2022 indicates an affluent area, significantly above the national average. The neighborhood's proximity to Dominican University of California likely influences its demographic makeup and economic profile.
Over the past decade, the Dominican/Black Canyon neighborhood has experienced subtle changes in its racial composition. In 2013, the area was categorized as having "Low Diversity" with a strong White Majority (71%). This classification remained consistent throughout the decade, with the white population percentage fluctuating between 69% and 83%.
The neighborhood has shown signs of a gradual shift towards increased diversity. The Hispanic population has grown from 13% in 2013 to 16% in 2022. The Asian population has increased from 3% in 2013 to 12% in 2022. The Black population has decreased from 8% in 2013 to 2% in 2022. These changes suggest a trend towards a more diverse community, though it remains predominantly white.
The median income in the neighborhood has fluctuated over the years but has generally remained high. There appears to be a correlation between income levels and demographic shifts. The highest median income ($173,107) was recorded in 2021, coinciding with a slight increase in diversity. There was a notable dip in median income to $137,140 in 2018, which aligned with a peak in the white population percentage (80%). As the Hispanic and Asian populations increased from 2020 to 2022, the median income also rose from $159,953 to $161,339.
The demographic shifts in Dominican/Black Canyon reflect broader trends seen in many affluent suburban areas across the United States, particularly in California. The growth in Hispanic and Asian populations is consistent with statewide demographic changes in California over the past decade. However, the neighborhood's continued low diversity and high median income set it apart from many other areas in the state that have experienced more rapid diversification.
The neighborhood's proximity to San Francisco and its tech industry likely contributes to its high median income and gradual increase in Asian population. The growth in the Hispanic population, while significant for the neighborhood, is less pronounced than in many other parts of California, suggesting that this area may be less accessible or attractive to Hispanic residents compared to other regions in the state.
Dominican/Black Canyon remains a predominantly white, affluent neighborhood, but shows signs of gradual diversification. This trend, if it continues, may lead to a transition from "Low Diversity" to "Moderate Diversity" in the coming years, potentially bringing new cultural influences and economic dynamics to the area.
