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Demographic Analysis of Danville, Illinois: Racial Composition and Trends
CATEGORY
Demographics
DATA
Population
Median Income
Racial Distributions
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Demographics
Population
Median Income
Racial Distributions
Danville, Illinois, classified as a "Moderate Diversity" community with a White Majority as of 2022, has a population of 34,541. The city's demographic composition consists of 60% White, 28% Black, and 8% Hispanic residents. The median income in 2022 was $44,645, indicating a lower-middle-income economy compared to national averages.
From 2013 to 2022, Danville maintained its White Majority status while experiencing a gradual increase in diversity. The White population decreased from 63% to 60%, the Black population remained stable at 28-29%, and the Hispanic population grew from 5% to 8%. These changes suggest a slow transition towards greater diversity, though the city has not yet reached the "High Diversity" threshold.
The median income in Danville increased from $37,359 in 2013 to $44,645 in 2022, representing a 19.5% growth over the decade. This economic improvement occurred alongside increasing diversity. However, the population declined from 37,748 in 2013 to 34,541 in 2022, a decrease of about 8.5%, potentially indicating broader economic challenges or changing migration patterns.
The trends observed in Danville align with broader national patterns of increasing diversity in many American cities. The growth of the Hispanic population and the slight increase in multiracial residents reflect similar trends seen across the United States. The persistent population decline, however, may distinguish Danville from growing urban areas elsewhere in the country.
Based on observed trends, predictions for Danville include: continued growth of the Hispanic population, potentially reaching 10-12% within 5-10 years; further decrease of the White majority, possibly to 55-58%; stability or slight increases in the Black population; and incremental growth in residents identifying as two or more races. Economically, if the trend of increasing median income continues alongside demographic shifts, Danville might see further economic improvements. The persistent population decline remains a critical factor that could impact future economic prospects.
Danville is likely to transition from "Moderate Diversity" with a White Majority to "High Diversity" within the next decade if current trends accelerate. This transition would occur if no single racial group comprises more than 40% of the population and at least three groups have significant representation (over 10% each). To realize this transition and potentially reverse population decline, Danville may need to focus on economic development strategies that attract and retain a diverse workforce, while addressing underlying issues contributing to ongoing population loss.
