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Demographic Analysis of Cairnbrook, Pennsylvania: A Study of Low Diversity and Predominantly White Population
CATEGORY
Demographics
DATA
Population
Median Income
Racial Distributions
Cairnbrook, Pennsylvania, exhibits a Low Diversity demographic profile, with a predominantly White population of 97% in 2022. The city's median income has grown over the past decade, reaching $53,888 in 2022. The population has decreased from 958 in 2010 to 780 in 2022.
Throughout the analyzed period, Cairnbrook has maintained its status as a Low Diversity community. The White population has remained above 90% for all years with available data. From 2013 to 2019, there was a slight decrease in the White population from 97% to 91%. The percentage of residents identifying as Two or More Races increased from 1% in 2013 to 8% in 2019. This trend reversed in recent years, with the White population increasing to 97% by 2022.
The median income in Cairnbrook has shown consistent growth, rising from $36,738 in 2013 to $53,888 in 2022, an increase of about 46.7% over nine years. The population decrease of 18.6% from 2010 to 2022, coupled with rising incomes, could indicate outmigration of lower-income residents, an aging population with increasing retirement incomes, or a shift in local industry towards higher-paying jobs with fewer overall positions.
Cairnbrook's demographic stability contrasts with national trends towards increasing diversity. The income growth aligns with broader economic recovery and growth patterns observed across the United States in the post-2008 recession era.
Based on the observed trends, Cairnbrook is likely to remain a Low Diversity community in the near future. The recent reinforcement of the White majority suggests that significant demographic shifts are unlikely in the short term. Economically, if current trends continue, further increases in median income and continued population decline can be expected.
The community does not show signs of transitioning to a new category in the immediate future. Long-term economic pressures and broader national demographic shifts could eventually push Cairnbrook towards becoming a Transitional Community. This could happen if economic conditions attract more diverse populations, the aging population leads to an influx of younger, potentially more diverse residents, or broader regional demographic changes influence local population composition. However, such a transition would likely occur over a much longer timeframe than the data currently suggests, given the strong persistence of the current demographic makeup.
