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Demographic Analysis of Arbon Valley, Idaho: Racial Composition Trends from 2013 to 2022
CATEGORY
Demographics
DATA
Population
Median Income
Racial Distributions
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Demographics
Population
Median Income
Racial Distributions
Arbon Valley, Idaho, presents a demographic profile categorized as a "White Majority" community with elements of "Moderate Diversity." As of 2022, the white population constitutes 54% of the total, maintaining a slim majority. The presence of significant Native American (18%) and Hispanic (20%) populations introduces a level of diversity that sets Arbon Valley apart from many rural Idaho communities.
Over the past decade, Arbon Valley has experienced a gradual transition from a "Low Diversity" community towards a more diverse demographic makeup. In 2013, the white population comprised 58% of the total, with Native American and Hispanic populations at 19% and 22% respectively. By 2022, while still maintaining a "White Majority," the community has seen a slight decrease in the white population percentage and fluctuations in other racial groups.
The most notable shift has been the increase in the "Two or More Races" category, rising from 1% in 2013 to 7% in 2022. This trend suggests that Arbon Valley may be moving towards a "Transitional Community" status, with increasing racial mixing and diversity.
The median income in Arbon Valley has shown moderate fluctuations over the past decade, ranging from a low of $43,676 in 2014 to a high of $51,154 in 2021. The most recent figure for 2022 shows a median income of $44,499, which is a drop from the previous year. This economic instability may be influencing or being influenced by the demographic changes observed.
The population has shown considerable volatility, with notable peaks in 2013 (1,090) and 2019 (1,116), and a current figure of 752 in 2022. These fluctuations could be indicative of economic opportunities drawing people to the area, followed by periods of outmigration, possibly due to economic challenges.
The trends observed in Arbon Valley reflect broader national patterns of increasing diversity in rural areas. The growth in the "Two or More Races" category aligns with national trends of increasing multiracial identification. The economic volatility and population fluctuations may be more pronounced in Arbon Valley compared to national averages, suggesting local factors at play.
Based on the observed trends, Arbon Valley appears to be on a trajectory towards becoming a "Majority-Minority" community within the next decade. The decreasing percentage of the white population, coupled with the growth in multiracial identification and the stable presence of Native American and Hispanic populations, suggests a continuing diversification trend.
Economically, the area may continue to experience volatility, with potential for both growth and decline. The challenge for Arbon Valley will be to leverage its increasing diversity as an economic strength while addressing the factors contributing to income and population instability.
Arbon Valley represents a microcosm of demographic change in rural America, transitioning from a predominantly white community to one of increasing diversity. This transition brings both opportunities and challenges, particularly in terms of economic development and community cohesion. The coming years will be crucial in determining whether Arbon Valley can harness its growing diversity to create a more robust and inclusive local economy.
