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Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
East Brewton, Alabama, a small city with a population of 4,150 in 2022, has experienced notable changes in its violent crime rates over the past decade. From 2011 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes decreased from 27 to 8, marking a significant 70.4% reduction. During this same period, the city's population grew by 8.6%, from 3,822 to 4,150 residents.
The murder rate in the city has remained remarkably low, with only one reported case in 2015, representing 0.38% of the state's total murders that year. This translates to a rate of 0.27 murders per 1,000 people in 2015. In all other years from 2011 to 2022, there were no reported murders, indicating an overall stable and safe environment in terms of homicides.
Rape incidents have fluctuated over the years but generally remained low. The highest number of reported rapes was 3 in 2011 and 2014, representing 0.32% and 0.24% of the state's total rapes, respectively. By 2022, there were no reported rapes. The rape rate per 1,000 people decreased from 0.78 in 2011 to 0 in 2022, showing a positive trend in the reduction of this violent crime.
Robbery cases in the city have been infrequent. The highest number recorded was 2 in 2011, accounting for 0.05% of the state's robberies. From 2016 to 2022, there were no reported robberies, indicating a complete elimination of this crime category in recent years. The robbery rate per 1,000 people dropped from 0.52 in 2011 to 0 in 2022.
Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent form of violent crime in the city. The number of cases peaked at 24 in 2012, representing 0.23% of the state's total. By 2022, this number had decreased to 8, accounting for 0.07% of the state's aggravated assaults. The rate per 1,000 people for aggravated assault decreased from 5.76 in 2011 to 1.93 in 2022, showing a substantial improvement in public safety.
There appears to be a correlation between the reduction in violent crimes and changes in the city's demographic composition. As the white population percentage decreased from 66% in 2013 to 59% in 2022, and the percentage of residents identifying as two or more races increased from 0% to 14%, violent crime rates generally declined. This suggests that increasing diversity may have contributed to a more stable community environment.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends, it's estimated that by 2029, the city could potentially see a further reduction in violent crimes. The total number of violent crimes might decrease to around 5-6 incidents per year, with aggravated assault likely remaining the most common type of violent crime, potentially averaging 4-5 cases annually.
In summary, East Brewton has made significant strides in reducing violent crime over the past decade. The complete elimination of murders and robberies in most years, coupled with the substantial decrease in aggravated assaults, paints a picture of a city that has become increasingly safer for its residents. These improvements, occurring alongside population growth and increased diversity, suggest a positive trajectory for public safety in the community.