Robbery trends have shown a general decline. In 2010, there were 8 robberies (0.49 per 1,000 residents), which peaked at 11 in 2017 (0.67 per 1,000 residents) before decreasing to 9 in 2020 (0.52 per 1,000 residents). The city's contribution to state robbery statistics has remained relatively low, ranging from 0% to 0.1% over the decade, indicating that robbery is not a major contributor to the state's overall crime figures.

Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent violent crime in the city. The number of cases fluctuated significantly, from a high of 52 in 2017 (3.17 per 1,000 residents) to a low of 19 in 2015 (1.18 per 1,000 residents). In 2020, there were 32 cases (1.86 per 1,000 residents). The city's contribution to state aggravated assault statistics has varied, peaking at 0.17% in 2017 and settling at 0.1% in 2020, suggesting that while it remains a concern, the city's impact on state figures is relatively small.

Examining correlations, there appears to be a moderate relationship between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density increased from 2,370 per square mile in 2010 to 2,480 in 2020, there were corresponding fluctuations in violent crime rates. However, the relationship is not consistently linear, suggesting other factors are at play.

The racial distribution of the city has remained relatively stable, with the white population consistently making up the majority (around 62-64%). The Hispanic population has shown a slight increase from 20% in 2013 to 24% in 2022, while the Black population has remained steady at around 11-13%. This stability in demographics suggests that changes in violent crime rates are likely influenced by factors other than racial composition.

Applying predictive models based on the available data, it's projected that by 2029 (five years from now), violent crime rates in the city may stabilize or show a slight decrease if current trends continue. The population is expected to continue growing, potentially reaching around 20,000 by 2029, which could put additional pressure on law enforcement resources.

In summary, Dade City has experienced fluctuating violent crime rates over the past decade, with aggravated assault remaining the most significant concern. While the city occasionally contributes noticeably to state crime statistics in certain categories, its overall impact remains relatively small. The relationship between population growth, density, and crime rates suggests a complex interplay of factors influencing public safety in this evolving urban center.