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Crossville, Alabama: Property Crime Decline Amidst Population Growth
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Crossville, located in Alabama, has experienced notable changes in property crime rates and population over the past decade. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of property crimes fluctuated, with a peak of 27 incidents in 2014 and 2016, before decreasing to 3 incidents in 2022, representing an overall decrease of 57.14%. During this same period, the population grew from 4,437 in 2010 to 5,130 in 2022, an increase of 15.62%.
Burglary trends in the city show significant variation over time. In 2013, there were 5 burglaries reported, increasing to 7 in 2014, then decreasing to 2 in 2017, and finally to 1 in 2022. This represents an overall decrease of 80% from 2013 to 2022. When considering population trends, the burglary rate per 1,000 people decreased from 1.07 in 2013 to 0.19 in 2022. The city's contribution to state burglary figures fluctuated, ranging from 0.03% in 2014 and 2016 to 0.01% in 2017 and 2022. This downward trend suggests improving security measures or increased community vigilance.
Larceny-theft incidents in the city showed a declining trend. From 17 cases in 2013 and 2014, the number decreased to 15 in 2016, then slightly increased to 16 in 2017, before dropping to 0 in 2022. This represents a 100% decrease from 2013 to 2022. The larceny-theft rate per 1,000 people fell from 3.65 in 2013 to 0 in 2022. The city's contribution to state larceny-theft figures remained steady at 0.02% from 2013 to 2017, before dropping to 0% in 2022. This significant reduction could indicate improved local prevention strategies or changes in reporting practices.
Motor vehicle theft in the city exhibited fluctuations over the years. From 4 incidents in 2010, it decreased to 3 in 2013 and 2014, then doubled to 6 in 2016, before declining to 2 in both 2017 and 2022. This represents a 50% decrease from 2010 to 2022. The motor vehicle theft rate per 1,000 people decreased from 0.90 in 2010 to 0.39 in 2022. Interestingly, despite the overall decrease in incidents, the city's contribution to state motor vehicle theft figures increased from 0.04% in 2013 and 2014 to 0.08% in 2016, before settling at 0.03% in 2022. This suggests that while local incidents decreased, they did not decrease as rapidly as the state average.
Regarding arson, the data available is limited, with most years reporting "No Data Available." The only concrete figure is for 2022, which reports 0 arson incidents. Without more historical data, it's challenging to draw meaningful conclusions about arson trends in the city.
Examining correlations between property crime trends and demographic factors reveals some interesting patterns. As the population density decreased from 725 people per square mile in 2017 to 613 in 2022, there was a corresponding decrease in total property crimes from 20 to 3. This suggests a potential correlation between population density and property crime rates. Additionally, as the median income increased from $30,450 in 2017 to $38,783 in 2022, property crimes decreased, indicating a possible inverse relationship between income levels and crime rates.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a continuation of the downward trend. Based on the historical data and current trends, it's projected that by 2029, the city could see total property crimes reduced to 1-2 incidents per year, with potential for complete elimination of certain categories like larceny-theft if current trends persist.
In summary, Crossville has demonstrated a significant overall reduction in property crimes from 2010 to 2022, despite population growth. The most notable changes include the complete elimination of larceny-theft by 2022 and substantial reductions in burglary and motor vehicle theft. These trends, coupled with increasing median income and decreasing population density, paint a picture of a city that has made considerable strides in improving public safety and quality of life for its residents.
