The robbery trend in Thatcher mirrors that of rape, with zero reported incidents throughout the observed period. This consistency is maintained regardless of population changes, resulting in a constant rate of 0 robberies per 1,000 residents and no contribution to Arizona's robbery statistics.

Aggravated assault has been the primary component of violent crime in the city. The number of incidents varied from a high of 4 in 2011 to a low of 0 in 2016 and 2018. In 2022, there were 2 reported cases. The rate per 1,000 residents fluctuated accordingly, reaching a peak of 0.64 in 2011 and dropping to 0.32 in 2022. The city's contribution to state aggravated assault statistics ranged from 0% to 0.03%, with 0.01% recorded in 2022.

Examining correlations, there appears to be a weak inverse relationship between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density increased from 903 per square mile in 2010 to 940 in 2022, the overall violent crime incidents decreased. However, this correlation is not strong enough to suggest causation.

Applying predictive models based on the historical data, it's projected that by 2029, Thatcher may experience a slight increase in violent crimes, potentially reaching 3-4 incidents annually. This forecast assumes a continuation of current trends and stable socio-economic conditions.

In summary, Thatcher has maintained remarkably low violent crime rates across all categories over the past decade, despite population growth. The absence of murders, rapes, and robberies, coupled with low and fluctuating aggravated assault rates, paints a picture of a relatively safe community. The city's minimal contribution to state crime statistics further underscores its status as a low-crime area within Arizona.