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Chaffee, Missouri: Aggravated Assaults Drive Violent Crime Surge Despite Population Decline
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Chaffee, located in Missouri, presents an intriguing case study in violent crime trends over the past decade. From 2010 to 2020, the city experienced a notable increase in total violent crimes, rising from 3 incidents in 2010 to 13 in 2020, marking a 333.33% increase. During this same period, the population showed a slight decline, decreasing from 3,186 in 2010 to 3,069 in 2020, a 3.67% reduction.
In examining murder trends, Chaffee consistently reported zero murders from 2010 to 2020. This statistic remained unchanged despite population fluctuations, maintaining a murder rate of 0 per 1,000 residents throughout the decade. The city's contribution to the state's murder statistics also remained at 0% during this period, indicating a consistently safe environment in terms of homicides.
Rape incidents in the city showed minor fluctuations. The city reported no rapes in 2010, 2011, and 2014, but recorded one incident each in 2012 and 2013. This translates to a rape rate that peaked at approximately 0.31 per 1,000 residents in 2012 and 2013. The city's contribution to the state's rape statistics was 0.08% in 2012 and 0.06% in 2013, dropping back to 0% in 2014. These figures suggest that while rape occurrences were rare, they did sporadically impact the community.
Robbery trends in Chaffee remained consistently low throughout the observed period. From 2010 to 2020, no robberies were reported, maintaining a robbery rate of 0 per 1,000 residents. The city's contribution to the state's robbery statistics also remained at 0% during this time, indicating a relatively safe environment in terms of this particular crime.
Aggravated assault showed the most significant changes among violent crimes in the city. The number of incidents rose from 3 in 2010 to 13 in 2020, a 333.33% increase. This translates to an aggravated assault rate that grew from approximately 0.94 per 1,000 residents in 2010 to 4.24 per 1,000 in 2020. The city's contribution to the state's aggravated assault statistics also increased, from 0.02% in 2010 to 0.07% in 2020. This trend suggests a growing concern regarding violent confrontations within the community.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a notable relationship between the increase in violent crimes, particularly aggravated assaults, and changes in population density. As the population density decreased from 1,775 per square mile in 2010 to 1,709 in 2020, violent crimes paradoxically increased. Additionally, there's a potential correlation with median rent, which rose from $497 in 2013 to $741 in 2020, coinciding with the increase in violent crimes.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends, it's projected that by 2029, Chaffee may see its total violent crimes reach approximately 20 incidents annually, assuming current trends continue. This would represent a further 53.85% increase from the 2020 figure.
In summary, Chaffee has experienced a significant increase in violent crimes over the past decade, primarily driven by a rise in aggravated assaults. This trend occurred despite a slight population decrease and coincided with rising median rents. The city has maintained low rates of murder, rape, and robbery, but the surge in aggravated assaults warrants attention from local law enforcement and community leaders. As Chaffee moves forward, addressing the factors contributing to the rise in violent confrontations will be crucial for maintaining community safety and well-being.
